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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Leicester logo

Swansea
1 - 3
Leicester

Grimes (20')
Cullen (14'), Darling (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Vestergaard (44'), Fatawu (63'), Iheanacho (87')
Justin (49'), Pereira (56'), Dewsbury-Hall (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 1-3 Swansea
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.3%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawLeicester City
39.53% (0.042000000000002 0.04)23.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)36.49% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Both teams to score 61.47% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)40.83% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)63.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.16% (0.02300000000001 0.02)20.84% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.48% (0.034999999999997 0.03)53.52% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.65% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)22.35% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.17% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)55.83% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 39.53%
    Leicester City 36.49%
    Draw 23.98%
Swansea CityDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 8.58% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.99% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.17% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 39.53%
1-1 @ 10.94%
2-2 @ 6.43%
0-0 @ 4.66% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.98%
1-2 @ 8.2% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.98% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.23% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.21% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.61% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.53% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 36.49%

How you voted: Swansea vs Leicester

Swansea City
8.8%
Draw
17.6%
Leicester City
73.5%
34
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2017 3pm
Feb 12, 2017 4pm
Swansea
2-0
Leicester
Mawson (36'), Olsson (45')
Fer (26'), Cork (40')

Huth (36'), Chilwell (57')