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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 37.08%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Swansea City |
| 37.08% ( | 27.31% | 35.61% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.9% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.37% ( | 55.63% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.21% ( | 76.79% ( |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.09% ( | 28.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.21% ( | 64.79% ( |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.19% ( | 29.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.11% ( | 65.89% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 10.69% 2-1 @ 8.03% 2-0 @ 6.64% ( 3-1 @ 3.32% 3-0 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.61% Total : 37.08% | 1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 8.62% ( 2-2 @ 4.86% ( Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.31% | 0-1 @ 10.43% ( 1-2 @ 7.83% 0-2 @ 6.31% 1-3 @ 3.16% 0-3 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 1-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.41% Total : 35.61% |