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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 65.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 15.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 1-2 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 65.45% ( | 19.1% ( | 15.45% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.8% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.12% ( | 37.88% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.86% ( | 60.14% ( |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.16% ( | 10.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.08% ( | 34.92% ( |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.58% ( | 37.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.79% ( | 74.21% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 2-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 1-0 @ 9.01% ( 3-0 @ 7.42% ( 3-1 @ 7.29% ( 4-0 @ 4.12% ( 4-1 @ 4.05% ( 3-2 @ 3.58% ( 4-2 @ 1.99% ( 5-0 @ 1.83% ( 5-1 @ 1.8% ( Other @ 4.49% Total : 65.45% | 1-1 @ 8.86% ( 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0-0 @ 4.06% ( 3-3 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.1% | 1-2 @ 4.35% ( 0-1 @ 3.99% ( 0-2 @ 1.96% ( 2-3 @ 1.59% 1-3 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 2.15% Total : 15.45% |