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Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Ipswich
3 - 2
Cardiff

Broadhead (59'), Ladapo (68', 78')
Clarke (33'), Burns (64'), Williams (90'), Broadhead (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ramsey (30'), Ralls (52')
Tanner (38'), Ng (65'), Panzo (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 65.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 15.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 1-2 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawCardiff City
65.45% (0.069999999999993 0.07)19.1% (-0.032 -0.03)15.45% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 55.8% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.12% (0.080000000000005 0.08)37.88% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.86% (0.083999999999996 0.08)60.14% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.16% (0.041000000000011 0.04)10.84% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.08% (0.088999999999999 0.09)34.92% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.58% (0.0039999999999978 0)37.42% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.79% (0.0019999999999989 0)74.21% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 65.45%
    Cardiff City 15.45%
    Draw 19.1%
Ipswich TownDrawCardiff City
2-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 9.01% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.29% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.12% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.05% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.58% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.99% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.83% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.8% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 4.49%
Total : 65.45%
1-1 @ 8.86% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.06% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.1%
1-2 @ 4.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.99% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.96% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.59%
1-3 @ 1.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 15.45%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Cardiff

Ipswich Town
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Cardiff City
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2018 7.45pm
Oct 31, 2017 7.45pm
Cardiff
3-1
Ipswich
Hoilett (12'), Bogle (46'), Ward (91')
Morrison (83')
Celina (90')
Smith (60')
Mar 18, 2017 3pm
Cardiff
3-1
Ipswich
Zohore (36', 50'), Bennett (63')
Chambers (23')
Berra (53'), Pitman (68')
Dec 10, 2016 3pm
Ipswich
1-1
Cardiff
Varney (52')
Lawrence (37'), Chambers (91')
Gunnarsson (38')
Connolly (27'), Gunnarsson (87'), Pilkington (90'), Hoilett (93')
Bamba (70')
Mar 12, 2016 3pm