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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Leeds logo

Ipswich
3 - 4
Leeds

Rodon (7' og.), Broadhead (45+7'), Chaplin (90+7')
Morsy (45+5'), Luongo (56'), Woolfenden (87')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Rutter (10'), Gnonto (14'), Piroe (19'), Sinisterra (75')
Shackleton (52'), Meslier (59'), Ayling (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 58.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 19.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 1-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Leeds United win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawLeeds United
58.85% (1.485 1.49)21.18% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)19.97% (-1.467 -1.47)
Both teams to score 57.77% (-2.318 -2.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.32% (-1.966 -1.97)39.68% (1.962 1.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.97% (-2.074 -2.07)62.03% (2.069 2.07)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.79% (-0.19799999999999 -0.2)13.2% (0.194 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.07% (-0.39700000000001 -0.4)39.93% (0.393 0.39)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.56% (-2.515 -2.52)33.44% (2.511 2.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.93% (-2.852 -2.85)70.07% (2.848 2.85)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 58.85%
    Leeds United 19.97%
    Draw 21.18%
Ipswich TownDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.093 0.09)
2-0 @ 9.05% (0.681 0.68)
1-0 @ 8.94% (0.733 0.73)
3-1 @ 6.69% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.11% (0.419 0.42)
3-2 @ 3.67% (-0.253 -0.25)
4-1 @ 3.39% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.09% (0.191 0.19)
4-2 @ 1.86% (-0.143 -0.14)
5-1 @ 1.37% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.25% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 58.85%
1-1 @ 9.79% (0.163 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.332 -0.33)
0-0 @ 4.41% (0.391 0.39)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.195 -0.2)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.18%
1-2 @ 5.36% (-0.287 -0.29)
0-1 @ 4.84% (0.115 0.12)
0-2 @ 2.65% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.271 -0.27)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.252 -0.25)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 19.97%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Leeds

Ipswich Town
64.7%
Draw
13.7%
Leeds United
21.6%
51
Head to Head
May 5, 2019 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Ipswich
3-2
Leeds
Downes (30'), Dozzell (47'), Quaner (90')
Jackson (75'), Nsiala (84')
Chambers (79')
Klich (45'), Dallas (76')
Casilla (28')
Oct 24, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Leeds
2-0
Ipswich
Roofe (22'), Cooper (66')
Berardi (15')

Nolan (5'), Downes (31'), Knudsen (50')
Jan 13, 2018 3pm
Ipswich
1-0
Leeds
Celina (67')
Connolly (55'), Iorfa (60')

Jansson (80'), Phillips (87')
O'Kane (37')
Sep 23, 2017 3pm
Leeds
3-2
Ipswich
Lasogga (13'), Phillips (32'), Bialkowski (67' og.)
Cooper (72')
McGoldrick (30'), Garner (71')
Spence (3'), Knudsen (37')
Feb 18, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0


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