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Championship | Gameweek 10
Oct 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Norwich logo

Swansea
2 - 1
Norwich

Lowe (3'), Humphreys (83')
Lowe (48'), Key (52'), Cullen (55'), Cooper (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sara (22')
Gibson (18'), Rowe (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Swansea City in this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawNorwich City
41.46% (-0.215 -0.22)24.11% (-0.142 -0.14)34.43% (0.36199999999999 0.36)
Both teams to score 60.61% (0.625 0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.2% (0.773 0.77)41.8% (-0.77 -0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.8% (0.775 0.77)64.2% (-0.771 -0.77)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.65% (0.232 0.23)20.35% (-0.228 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.24% (0.363 0.36)52.76% (-0.359 -0.36)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.1% (0.568 0.57)23.9% (-0.564 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.9% (0.807 0.81)58.1% (-0.802 -0.8)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 41.46%
    Norwich City 34.43%
    Draw 24.11%
Swansea CityDrawNorwich City
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.74% (-0.215 -0.22)
2-0 @ 6.16% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-1 @ 4.68% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.35% (0.064 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.27% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.035 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 41.46%
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 6.31% (0.078 0.08)
0-0 @ 4.86% (-0.17 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.11%
1-2 @ 7.93% (0.043 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.96% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-2 @ 4.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.79% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.01% (0.086 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.38% (0.035 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.36% (0.051 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.08% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 34.43%

How you voted: Swansea vs Norwich

Swansea City
32.4%
Draw
24.3%
Norwich City
43.2%
37
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
Norwich
0-3
Swansea
Latibeaudiere (23'), Cullen (39'), Ntcham (64')
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Swansea
0-1
Norwich
Pukki (1')
Feb 5, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 28
Swansea
2-0
Norwich
Ayew (42'), Hourihane (48')
Bennett (65'), Guehi (69'), Woodman (84')

Idah (67'), Vrancic (78')
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 11
Norwich
1-0
Swansea
Stiepermann (84')
Aarons (88')

Guehi (17'), Naughton (36'), Bennett (38'), Fulton (55'), Roberts (90+3')
Mar 8, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Norwich
1-0
Swansea
Buendia (54')
Buendia (80')