Championship

Championship | Gameweek 9

Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK

Carrow Road

Norwich
2 - 0
Birmingham

Sara (55'), Rowe (60')
Sara (65')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Long (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Fulham 2-1 Norwich
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Birmingham City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 QPR
Friday, September 22 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 49.59%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Birmingham City
49.59% ( -0.01)	25.97% ( 0.01)	24.44%

Both teams to score 48.41% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.07% (

-0.04)

54.93% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.79% (

-0.03)

76.21% (

0.03)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.81% (

-0.02)

22.19% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.4% (

-0.03)

55.59% (

0.03)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.21% (

-0.02)

37.79% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.44% (

-0.02)

74.56% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Norwich City 49.59%

Birmingham City 24.44%

Draw 25.97%

Norwich City	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 12.62% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.5% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.77% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0) Other @ 3% Total : 49.59%	1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0) Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.97%	0-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.98% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.97% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.64% Total : 24.44%