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Championship | Gameweek 7
Sep 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Deepdale
Birmingham logo

Preston
2 - 1
Birmingham

Bielik (51' og.), Osmajic (67')
Whatmough (48'), Osmajic (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stansfield (46')
Bacuna (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Preston North End 1-0 Birmingham City

Preston are currently in irrepressible form, and after winning all three league home games this season, we think that they will make full use of home advantage once again to edge out Birmingham in Tuesday's encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.

Result
Preston North EndDrawBirmingham City
42.53% (3.676 3.68) 27.09% (-0.366 -0.37) 30.38% (-3.311 -3.31)
Both teams to score 49.31% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.2% (0.561 0.56)55.79% (-0.561 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.08% (0.453 0.45)76.92% (-0.45299999999999 -0.45)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.05% (2.272 2.27)25.94% (-2.272 -2.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.05% (2.968 2.97)60.95% (-2.969 -2.97)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.58% (-2.02 -2.02)33.42% (2.02 2.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.95% (-2.278 -2.28)70.05% (2.278 2.28)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 42.52%
    Birmingham City 30.38%
    Draw 27.09%
Preston North EndDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.69% (0.48 0.48)
2-1 @ 8.65% (0.435 0.44)
2-0 @ 7.89% (0.799 0.8)
3-1 @ 3.89% (0.425 0.43)
3-0 @ 3.55% (0.558 0.56)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.125 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.216 0.22)
4-0 @ 1.2% (0.251 0.25)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 42.52%
1-1 @ 12.82% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 8.67% (-0.189 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.09%
0-1 @ 9.5% (-0.757 -0.76)
1-2 @ 7.03% (-0.494 -0.49)
0-2 @ 5.21% (-0.736 -0.74)
1-3 @ 2.57% (-0.337 -0.34)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.392 -0.39)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 30.38%

How you voted: Preston vs Birmingham

Preston North End
72.9%
Draw
18.8%
Birmingham City
8.3%
48
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Birmingham
1-2
Preston
Ledson (10'), Browne (15')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Preston
0-1
Birmingham

Evans (83')
Colin (16')
Roberts (65'), Hogan (69'), James (90+5')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 27
Preston
1-1
Birmingham
Bauer (31')
Whiteman (72')
Hogan (86')
Mengi (56')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Birmingham
0-0
Preston
Bela (45+1')
Bauer (39'), Storey (62'), Ledson (72')
Jan 20, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Birmingham
0-1
Preston

Friend (22'), Gardner (90')
Sinclair (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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