Championship

Championship | Gameweek 7

Sep 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Deepdale

Preston
2 - 1
Birmingham

Bielik (51' og.), Osmajic (67')
Whatmough (48'), Osmajic (68')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Stansfield (46')
Bacuna (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Preston North End

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Preston 2-1 Plymouth
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Birmingham City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Watford 2-0 Birmingham
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.

Result
Preston North End	Draw	Birmingham City
42.53% ( 3.68)	27.09% ( -0.37)	30.38% ( -3.31)

Both teams to score 49.31% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.2% (

0.56)

55.79% (

-0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.08% (

0.45)

76.92% (

-0.45)

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.05% (

2.27)

25.94% (

-2.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.05% (

2.97)

60.95% (

-2.97)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.58% (

-2.02)

33.42% (

2.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.95% (

-2.28)

70.05% (

2.28)

Score Analysis

Preston North End 42.52%

Birmingham City 30.38%

Draw 27.09%

Preston North End	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 11.69% ( 0.48) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.44) 2-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.8) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.43) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.56) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.22) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.25) Other @ 2.21% Total : 42.52%	1-1 @ 12.82% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.09%	0-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.76) 1-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.49) 0-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.74) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.34) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.39) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.44% Total : 30.38%