Championship

Championship | Gameweek 6

Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
2 - 0
Birmingham

Rajovic (90+1'), Andrews (90+6')
Hoedt (55')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Drameh (5'), Buchanan (35'), Bielik (38'), Stansfield (57'), Sunjic (60'), Longelo (90+3')
Buchanan (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Coventry 3-3 Watford
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Birmingham City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Millwall
Saturday, September 2 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 45.95%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
Watford	Draw	Birmingham City
45.95% ( 0.02)	26.14% ( -0)	27.91% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 50.74% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.72% (

0.01)

53.28%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.16% (

74.83%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.85% (

0.01)

23.14% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.99% (

0.02)

57.01% (

-0.02)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.02% (

-0.01)

33.97% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.35% (

-0.01)

70.65% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Watford 45.94%

Birmingham City 27.91%

Draw 26.14%

Watford	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 11.5% 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 45.94%	1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 7.86% 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.14%	0-1 @ 8.49% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 27.91%