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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Watford had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Coventry City | Draw | Watford |
| 44.03% ( | 26.9% ( | 29.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.21% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.39% ( | 55.61% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.23% ( | 76.77% ( |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.91% ( | 25.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.21% ( | 59.79% ( |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.69% ( | 34.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.99% ( | 71.01% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Coventry City | Draw | Watford |
| 1-0 @ 11.9% ( 2-1 @ 8.8% ( 2-0 @ 8.23% ( 3-1 @ 4.06% ( 3-0 @ 3.79% ( 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 4-0 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 2.37% Total : 44.03% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( 0-0 @ 8.61% ( 2-2 @ 4.71% ( Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.9% | 0-1 @ 9.21% ( 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0-2 @ 4.93% ( 1-3 @ 2.43% ( 0-3 @ 1.76% 2-3 @ 1.68% ( Other @ 2.26% Total : 29.07% |