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Championship | Gameweek 11
Nov 7, 2020 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Coventry City

Watford
3 - 2
Coventry

Gray (54'), Troost-Ekong (66'), Sarr (83' pen.)
Femenia (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hamer (63'), Walker (64')
Skiri Oestigaard (55'), O'Hare (83')

The Match

Match Report

The Hornets had to come from behind after Coventry went 2-1 up.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship meeting between Watford and Coventry City, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawCoventry City
44.08%26.46%29.47%
Both teams to score 50.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.27%53.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.79%75.21%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.76%24.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.41%58.58%
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.98%33.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.4%69.6%
Score Analysis
    Watford 44.08%
    Coventry City 29.47%
    Draw 26.45%
WatfordDrawCoventry City
1-0 @ 11.34%
2-1 @ 8.91%
2-0 @ 8.04%
3-1 @ 4.21%
3-0 @ 3.8%
3-2 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 1.49%
4-0 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 44.08%
1-1 @ 12.56%
0-0 @ 8%
2-2 @ 4.94%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.45%
0-1 @ 8.87%
1-2 @ 6.96%
0-2 @ 4.91%
1-3 @ 2.57%
2-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.82%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 29.47%

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