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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Coventry City |
| 44.08% | 26.46% | 29.47% |
| Both teams to score 50.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.27% | 53.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.79% | 75.21% |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.76% | 24.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.41% | 58.58% |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.98% | 33.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.4% | 69.6% |
| Score Analysis |
| Watford | Draw | Coventry City |
| 1-0 @ 11.34% 2-1 @ 8.91% 2-0 @ 8.04% 3-1 @ 4.21% 3-0 @ 3.8% 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.62% Total : 44.08% | 1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 8% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.45% | 0-1 @ 8.87% 1-2 @ 6.96% 0-2 @ 4.91% 1-3 @ 2.57% 2-3 @ 1.82% 0-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 2.51% Total : 29.47% |