Championship

Championship | Gameweek 12

Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK

Bet365 Stadium

Stoke
2 - 1
Sunderland

Mmaee (7'), McNally (47')
Johnson (21'), Burger (50'), Pearson (59'), Thompson (73'), Stevens (86')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Clarke (10')
Huggins (25'), Hume (34'), Clarke (64'), Aouchiche (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Leicester 2-0 Stoke
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sunderland

All competitions

Last Game: Sunderland 0-4 Middlesbrough
Saturday, October 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Sunderland
35.67% ( -0.14)	25.03% ( 0.15)	39.3% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 57.54% (

-0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.11% (

-0.72)

45.89% (

0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.8% (

-0.69)

68.2% (

0.68)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.89% (

-0.41)

25.11% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.19% (

-0.57)

59.81% (

0.57)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.84% (

-0.33)

23.16% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.96% (

-0.48)

57.04% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

Stoke City 35.67%

Sunderland 39.3%

Draw 25.02%

Stoke City	Draw	Sunderland
2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.68% Total : 35.67%	1-1 @ 11.75% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.02%	1-2 @ 8.6% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.03% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.16% Total : 39.3%