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Championship | Gameweek 14
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Ipswich
3 - 2
Plymouth

Mumba (45+1' og., 45+1' og.), Hirst (54', 54'), Harness (86')
Luongo (32'), Luongo (32'), Woolfenden (66'), Williams (68'), Edmundson (74')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Whittaker (7', 7'), Edwards (90+1')
Miller (28'), Miller (28'), Mumba (62+62'), Mumba (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 3-0 Sheff Weds
Wednesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 66.4%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 15.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 3-1 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-2 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
66.4% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)18.05% (0.010999999999999 0.01)15.54% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 60.07% (0.056999999999995 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.47% (0.033000000000001 0.03)32.53% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.82% (0.038000000000004 0.04)54.18% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.87%9.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.03%30.96%
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.09% (0.061999999999998 0.06)33.9% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.42% (0.068999999999999 0.07)70.57% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 66.4%
    Plymouth Argyle 15.54%
    Draw 18.05%
Ipswich TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.87% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.65% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 7.41% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 4.24% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.14% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.48% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 2.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 2.03% (-0.004 -0)
5-2 @ 1.19% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.97%
Total : 66.4%
1-1 @ 8.01% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.09% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.49% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 18.05%
1-2 @ 4.33% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 3.35%
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.006 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.81% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.56% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 15.54%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Plymouth

Ipswich Town
81.0%
Draw
9.5%
Plymouth Argyle
9.5%
42
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Ipswich
1-1
Plymouth
Burns (63')
Mumba (90+3')
Sep 25, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 11
Plymouth
2-1
Ipswich
Mumba (69'), Whittaker (75')
Ladapo (39')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Ipswich
1-0
Plymouth
Morsy (37')
Morsy (28'), Burns (63')

Crichlow (76')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Plymouth
2-1
Ipswich
Jephcott (44'), Grant (50')
Garrick (75')
Edmundson (14')
Edmundson (22'), Chaplin (26'), Morsy (56'), Nsiala (75')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 36
Ipswich
1-0
Plymouth
Parrott (4')