Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 66.4%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 15.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 3-1 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-2 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.