Championship

Championship | Gameweek 7

Sep 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton
0 - 1
Ipswich

Harwood-Bellis (59'), Adams (77')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hutchinson (30')
Williams (38'), Taylor (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Southampton and Ipswich Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Southampton 1-4 Leicester
Friday, September 15 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ipswich Town

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-1 Ipswich
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 57.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 20.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.49%) and 0-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Southampton win it was 2-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Ipswich Town
20.29% ( -2.61)	21.72% ( 0.09)	57.98% ( 2.52)

Both teams to score 56.39% (

-4.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.25% (

-3.84)

41.75% (

3.84)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.85% (

-3.98)

64.15% (

3.98)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.68% (

-4.56)

34.32% (

4.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.97% (

-5.19)

71.02% (

5.2)

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.86% (

-0.5)

14.14% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.2% (

-0.98)

41.8% (

0.98)

Score Analysis

Southampton 20.29%

Ipswich Town 57.98%

Draw 21.72%

Southampton	Draw	Ipswich Town
2-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.51) 1-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.47) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.5) 3-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.08% Total : 20.29%	1-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.61) 0-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.79) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.35) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.72%	1-2 @ 9.93% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 9.49% ( 1.4) 0-2 @ 9.28% ( 1.23) 1-3 @ 6.48% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.05% ( 0.71) 2-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.47) 1-4 @ 3.17% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 2.96% ( 0.3) 2-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.26) 1-5 @ 1.24% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 1.16% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.07% Total : 57.98%