Championship Gameweek 7
Southampton
Sep 19, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT St. Mary's Stadium
Ipswich
  • Taylor Harwood-Bellis 59' yellowcard
  • Che Adams 77' yellowcard
  • goal Omari Hutchinson 30'
  • yellowcard Brandon Williams 38'
  • yellowcard Jack Taylor 52'

Southampton vs Ipswich Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Sep 15, 2023 8.00pm
Southampton 1 - 4 Leicester
Goals scored
91
Top scorer
Adam Armstrong

Ipswich Town

All competitions
Last game
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
Sheff Weds 0 - 1 Ipswich
Goals scored
92
Top scorer
Nathan Broadhead

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 57.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 20.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.49%) and 0-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Southampton win it was 2-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result

Southampton 20.29% ▲ (+0.05)
Draw 21.72% ▲ (+0.02)
Ipswich Town 57.98% ▼ (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.39% ▲ (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 41.75% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 35.85% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 64.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 4.5 18.9% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 81.09% ▼ (-0.01)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 65.68% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 34.32% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 28.97% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 71.02% ▼ (-0.05)

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5 85.86% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 14.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 58.2% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 41.8% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Southampton 20.29%
Draw 21.72%
Ipswich Town 57.98%
Southampton
2-1 @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 5.19% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 20.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.15% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.85% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.72%
Ipswich Town
1-2 @ 9.93% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 9.49% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 9.28% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 6.48% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 6.05% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.69%
1-5 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 57.98%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Ipswich
Jan 14, 2015 7.55pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Southampton
  • goal Shane Long 19'
FA Cup
Southampton
Jan 4, 2015 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Ipswich
  • Morgan Schneiderlin 31' yellowcard
  • Morgan Schneiderlin 34' goal
  • goal Darren Ambrose 19'
  • yellowcard Christophe Berra 32'
  • yellowcard Tyrone Mings 53'
Championship
Southampton
Mar 6, 2012 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Ipswich
  • Rickie Lambert 74' goal
  • Dan Harding 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daryl Murphy 68'
Championship
Ipswich
Aug 16, 2011 7.45pm
2
5
HT : 0 3
FT
Southampton
  • Damien Delaney 35' yellowcard
  • Keith Andrews 56' goal
  • Jay Emmanuel-Thomas 61' goal
  • Michael Chopra 81' yellowcard
  • goal Rickie Lambert 4'
  • goal Rickie Lambert 11'
  • goal David Connolly 42'
  • goal Adam Lallana 76'
  • yellowcard Frazer Richardson 81'
  • goal Adam Lallana 90'
Championship
Ipswich
Mar 3, 2009 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Southampton
  • goal Jason Euell 30'
  • yellowcard Simon Gillett 36'
  • yellowcard Morgan Schneiderlin 68'
  • goal Jason Euell 85'
Championship
Southampton
Sep 17, 2008 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Ipswich
  • Drew Surman 12' goal
  • Tomas Pekhart 68' goal
  • goal Owen Garvan 20'
  • goal Alan Quinn 50'
  • yellowcard Moritz Volz 59'
  • yellowcard Owen Garvan 73'
  • yellowcard Jon Walters 87'
  • yellowcard Pim Balkestein 90'

Form Data

Southampton 1 - 4 Leicester
Sunderland 5 - 0 Southampton
Southampton 2 - 1 QPR
Plymouth 1 - 2 Southampton
Southampton 4 - 4 Norwich
Gillingham 3 - 1 Southampton
Sheff Weds 0 - 1 Ipswich
Ipswich 3 - 2 Cardiff
Reading 2 - 2 Ipswich
Ipswich 3 - 4 Leeds
QPR 0 - 1 Ipswich
Ipswich 2 - 0 Stoke