Championship

Championship | Gameweek 11

Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK

Portman Road Stadium

Ipswich
4 - 2
Preston

Chaplin (18'), Williams (35'), Broadhead (45+1'), Jackson (78')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Frokjaer-Jensen (27'), Whiteman (52')
Ledson (8'), Lindsay (22'), Browne (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ipswich Town

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Ipswich 3-0 Hull City
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Preston North End

All competitions

Last Game: Leicester 3-0 Preston
Wednesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 59.54%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 19.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 1-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Preston North End win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich Town	Draw	Preston North End
59.54% ( -0.17)	21.12% ( 0.03)	19.34% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 56.87% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.64% (

0.08)

40.36% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.26% (

0.08)

62.74% (

-0.08)

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.78% (

-0.02)

13.22% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.04% (

-0.05)

39.96% (

0.05)

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.52% (

0.19)

34.47% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.81% (

0.2)

71.19% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Ipswich Town 59.54%

Preston North End 19.34%

Draw 21.12%

Ipswich Town	Draw	Preston North End
2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.44% Total : 59.54%	1-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.12%	1-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 19.34%