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Championship | Gameweek 8
Sep 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Blackburn logo

Ipswich
4 - 3
Blackburn

Clarke (4', 4'), Broadhead (18', 18'), Hirst (25', 25'), Luongo (79', 79')
Morsy (48'), Morsy (48'), Hirst (59'), Hirst (59'), Chaplin (74'), Chaplin (74')
FT(HT: 6-2)
Sigurdsson (9', 9'), Clarke (52' og., 52' og.), Szmodics (65', 65')
Moran (31'), Moran (31'), Sigurdsson (40'), Sigurdsson (40'), Carter (62'), Carter (62'), Travis (72'), Travis (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawBlackburn Rovers
46.75% (1.571 1.57)23.57% (0.273 0.27)29.68% (-1.845 -1.85)
Both teams to score 60.4% (-2.062 -2.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.84% (-2.257 -2.26)41.16% (2.257 2.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.44% (-2.338 -2.34)63.55% (2.336 2.34)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.14% (-0.265 -0.27)17.85% (0.264 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.38% (-0.457 -0.46)48.61% (0.456 0.46)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.53% (-2.268 -2.27)26.46% (2.268 2.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.35% (-3.115 -3.12)61.64% (3.115 3.12)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 46.75%
    Blackburn Rovers 29.68%
    Draw 23.57%
Ipswich TownDrawBlackburn Rovers
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.203 0.2)
1-0 @ 8.14% (0.743 0.74)
2-0 @ 7.01% (0.586 0.59)
3-1 @ 5.35% (0.071 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.03% (0.305 0.31)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.189 -0.19)
4-1 @ 2.31% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.117 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 46.75%
1-1 @ 10.82% (0.33 0.33)
2-2 @ 6.2% (-0.273 -0.27)
0-0 @ 4.73% (0.469 0.47)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.196 -0.2)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.57%
1-2 @ 7.19% (-0.253 -0.25)
0-1 @ 6.28% (0.242 0.24)
0-2 @ 4.18% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.19% (-0.334 -0.33)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.314 -0.31)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.176 -0.18)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.173 -0.17)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 29.68%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Blackburn

Ipswich Town
76.7%
Draw
16.7%
Blackburn Rovers
6.7%
30
Head to Head
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 28
Blackburn
2-0
Ipswich
Graham (65' pen.), Nuttall (74')
Lenihan (69'), Nuttall (76')

Chambers (64')
Aug 4, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 1
Ipswich
2-2
Blackburn
Edwards (5'), Edun (90')
Harrison (35'), Chambers (73')
Graham (20'), Dack (29')
Bennett (53'), Lenihan (88'), Smallwood (90')
Jan 14, 2017 3pm
Ipswich
3-2
Blackburn
Lawrence (38', 57'), Berra (54')
Lawrence (42'), Dozzell (65')
Akpan (43'), Graham (74' pen.)
Oct 15, 2016 3pm
Mar 15, 2016 7.45pm
Ipswich
2-0
Blackburn
Murphy (67' pen., 87')
Hyam (63'), Douglas (77')

Evans (29')