Championship Gameweek 10
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Home Park
  • Mickel Miller 31' yellowcard
  • Julio Pleguezuelo 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danny McNamara 52'
  • yellowcard Jake Cooper 54'
  • yellowcard Allan Campbell 54'
  • goal Zian Flemming 59'
  • yellowcard Ryan Leonard 89'
  • yellowcard Murray Wallace 90'+4'
  • goal George Saville 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Brooke Norton-Cuffy 90'+7'

Plymouth Argyle vs Millwall - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
Last game
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
Hull City 1 - 1 Plymouth
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Morgan Whittaker

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
Millwall 0 - 3 Swansea
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Zian Flemming

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result

Plymouth Argyle 30.99% (-0.38)
Draw 24.63% (-0.15)
Millwall 44.38% (+0.51)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.45% (+0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.62% (+0.48)
Under 2.5 45.37% (-0.49)
Over 3.5 32.29% (+0.46)
Under 3.5 67.71% (-0.46)
Over 4.5 16.28% (+0.33)
Under 4.5 83.72% (-0.33)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5 72.29% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 27.7% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 36.74% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 63.26% (-0.01)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 79.46% (+0.43)
Under 0.5 20.54% (-0.43)
Over 1.5 46.95% (+0.67)
Under 1.5 53.05% (-0.68)

Score analysis

Plymouth Argyle 30.99%
Draw 24.63%
Millwall 44.38%
Plymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 7.42% (-0.06)
1-0 @ 7.3% (-0.16)
2-0 @ 4.69% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 3.18% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.51% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.01% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 30.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.56% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.87% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.69% (-0.12)
3-3 @ 1.33% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.63%
Millwall
1-2 @ 9.15% (+0.06)
0-1 @ 9.01% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 7.13% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 4.83% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 3.76% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 3.1% (+0.06)
1-4 @ 1.91% (+0.06)
0-4 @ 1.49% (+0.05)
2-4 @ 1.23% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 44.38%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Aug 29, 2018 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Den (London)
  • Shaun Williams 64' goal
  • Lee Gregory 84' goal
  • Aiden O'Brien 89' goal
  • goal Jamie Ness 41'
  • yellowcard Ryan Edwards 63'
  • goal Freddie Ladapo 67'
  • yellowcard Jamie Ness 90'
Johnstone's Paint Trophy
Nov 10, 2015 7.45pm
3
5
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Jake Jervis 34' goal
  • Graham Carey 56' goal
  • Jake Kervis 85' goal
  • Ben Purrington 91' yellowcard
  • goal Lee Gregory 21'
  • goal Lee Gregory 43'
  • goal Lee Gregory 49'
  • goal Lee Gregory 58'
  • goal Aiden O'Brien 66'
  • yellowcard Byron Webster 93'
Championship
Apr 15, 2006 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Marvin Williams 31' goal
  • Marvin Williams 62' yellowcard
  • goal Vincent Pericard 10'
  • yellowcard Paul Wotton 44'
Championship
Oct 30, 2005 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Phil Ifil 87'
Championship
Mar 20, 2005 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Peter Sweeney 15' goal
  • Barry Hayles 56' goal
  • Danny Dichio 63' goal
  • yellowcard Bjarni Gudjonsson 49'
Championship
Aug 7, 2004 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Paul Wotton 16' yellowcard
  • Peter Gilbert 24' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danny Dichio 53'
  • yellowcard Jody Morris 58'