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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 55.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 19.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.
Result | ||
Millwall | Draw | Rotherham United |
55.35% ( -1.42) | 25.29% ( 0.57) | 19.36% ( 0.85) |
Both teams to score 44.17% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.74% ( -1.01) | 57.26% ( 1.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.89% ( -0.81) | 78.1% ( 0.81) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.29% ( -0.96) | 20.71% ( 0.96) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.67% ( -1.54) | 53.33% ( 1.54) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.71% ( 0.4) | 44.29% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.64% ( 0.32) | 80.36% ( -0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Millwall | Draw | Rotherham United |
1-0 @ 14.44% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 11.36% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.31) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.22% Total : 55.34% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 3.77% ( 0) Other @ 0.58% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.73% Total : 19.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Leicester CityLeicester | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 39 | 47 | 94 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 44 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 88 | 56 | 32 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 45 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 84 |
5 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 79 | 63 | 16 | 73 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 59 | 9 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 66 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 19 | 5 | 21 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 62 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 45 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 56 |
15 | Sunderland | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Millwall | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 56 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 50 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 14 | 8 | 23 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 50 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 47 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 45 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 87 | -55 | 24 |
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