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Championship | Gameweek 20
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Swansea logo
Rotherham
1 - 2
Swansea
Nombe (64')
Ayala (12'), Rathbone (79'), Hall (86')
Ayala (17')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Patino (45'), Yates (73')
Darling (18'), Lowe (39'), Humphreys (90+6')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Rotherham
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-1 Huddersfield
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Rotherham United 1-1 Swansea City

With their position in the fight for survival quickly worsening, Rotherham will be desperate to return to winning ways on home turf on Saturday, but Swansea City boast more quality than their hosts, and both ticking over under temporary stewardship, we see a share of the spoils as the most likely outcome at the New York Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Swansea City in this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawSwansea City
29.09% (0.26 0.26) 24.33% (0.093 0.09) 46.58% (-0.352 -0.35)
Both teams to score 57.37% (-0.138 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.02% (-0.262 -0.26)44.98% (0.26199999999999 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.67% (-0.252 -0.25)67.33% (0.253 0.25)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.21% (0.049999999999997 0.05)28.79% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.36% (0.060000000000002 0.06)64.64% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.57% (-0.25 -0.25)19.43% (0.251 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.73% (-0.41200000000001 -0.41)51.27% (0.414 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 29.09%
    Swansea City 46.58%
    Draw 24.33%
Rotherham UnitedDrawSwansea City
2-1 @ 7.11% (0.043 0.04)
1-0 @ 6.97% (0.088 0.09)
2-0 @ 4.34% (0.06 0.06)
3-1 @ 2.95% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.8% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 0.92% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 29.09%
1-1 @ 11.41% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.59% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.33%
1-2 @ 9.35% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-1 @ 9.17% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.51% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.11% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
0-3 @ 4.1% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.18% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.09% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.68% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.3% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 46.58%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Swansea

Rotherham United
37.5%
Draw
18.8%
Swansea City
43.8%
16
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 34
Swansea
1-1
Rotherham
Piroe (42')
Ogbene (52')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Rotherham
1-1
Swansea
Ogbene (16')
Bramall (90+3')
Darling (38')
Sorinola (55'), Piroe (80')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 27
Rotherham
1-3
Swansea
Ladapo (65')
Wood (35')
Hourihane (28'), Grimes (38'), Fulton (74')
Ayew (9')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 12
Swansea
1-0
Rotherham
Grimes (28')
Bennett (32')

Barlaser (45+1')
Apr 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 43
Swansea
4-3
Rotherham
McBurnie (36', 79'), McKay (50'), Byers (69')
Ihiekwe (10'), Crooks (38'), Vaulks (83')
Ajayi (13')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leicester CityLeicester34253670294178
2Leeds UnitedLeeds34226664273772
3Ipswich TownIpswich34219468452372
4Southampton34207765422367
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom341681049321756
6Hull City34167115043755
7Norwich CityNorwich34157125951852
8Preston North EndPreston34157124752-552
9Coventry CityCoventry341312951401151
10Sunderland34145154639747
11Watford341111125047344
12Bristol City34128143939044
13Middlesbrough33135154749-244
14Cardiff CityCardiff34135163948-944
15Plymouth ArgylePlymouth341010145357-440
16Blackburn RoversBlackburn34116174860-1239
17Swansea CitySwansea34109154355-1239
18Birmingham CityBirmingham33108153851-1338
19Huddersfield TownHuddersfield34813134055-1537
20Millwall3499163347-1436
21Queens Park RangersQPR3498173245-1335
22Stoke CityStoke3498173148-1735
23Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds3495202853-2532
24Rotherham UnitedRotherham34310213066-3619

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