/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fleelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fswalog.png)
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Joel Piroe
4'
-
Georginio Rutter
45'+3'
-
Daniel James
61'
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Jamie Paterson
1'
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Jamal Lowe
73'
Leeds United vs Swansea City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F37%2Fdaniel-farke.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 52.39%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 25.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
Result
Leeds United
52.39%
▼
(-0.54)
Draw
22.41%
▲
(+0.69)
Swansea City
25.2%
▼
(-0.15)
Both Teams to Score:
60.66%
▼
(-2.66)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.87%
▼
(-3.43)
Under 2.5
39.13%
▲
(+3.42)
Over 3.5
38.54%
▼
(-3.69)
Under 3.5
61.46%
▲
(+3.68)
Over 4.5
20.98%
▼
(-2.98)
Under 4.5
79.02%
▲
(+2.97)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5
84.94%
▼
(-1.38)
Under 0.5
15.05%
▲
(+1.37)
Over 1.5
56.44%
▼
(-2.66)
Under 1.5
43.55%
▲
(+2.66)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5
71.41%
▼
(-1.95)
Under 0.5
28.58%
▲
(+1.95)
Over 1.5
35.62%
▼
(-2.51)
Under 1.5
64.38%
▲
(+2.50)
Score analysis
Leeds United
52.39%
Draw
22.4%
Swansea City
25.2%
Leeds United
2-1
@
9.66%
▲
(+0.13)
1-0 @ 8.15% ▲ (+0.90)
2-0 @ 7.71% ▲ (+0.51)
3-1 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.23)
3-0 @ 4.87% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.37)
4-1 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.26)
4-0 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.08)
4-2 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.28)
5-1 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 52.39%
1-0 @ 8.15% ▲ (+0.90)
2-0 @ 7.71% ▲ (+0.51)
3-1 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.23)
3-0 @ 4.87% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.37)
4-1 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.26)
4-0 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.08)
4-2 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.28)
5-1 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 52.39%
Draw
1-1
@
10.2%
▲
(+0.61)
2-2 @ 6.05% ▼ (-0.26)
0-0 @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.66)
3-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.25)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.4%
2-2 @ 6.05% ▼ (-0.26)
0-0 @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.66)
3-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.25)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.4%
Swansea City
1-2
@
6.39%
▲
(+0.05)
0-1 @ 5.39% ▲ (+0.57)
0-2 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.19)
1-3 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.26)
0-3 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 5.39% ▲ (+0.57)
0-2 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.19)
1-3 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.26)
0-3 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 25.2%