MX23RW : Tuesday, April 30 22:55:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship header 2

Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 13
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
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Swansea
0 - 1
Watford

FT(HT: 0-0)
Sema (82')
Livermore (30'), Hoedt (73'), Kayembe (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions
Last Game: Swansea 1-3 Leicester
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship

Watford

All competitions
Last Game: Watford 1-0 Sheff Weds
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Watford

 The two sides were certainly in different veins of form prior to the international break, but both fortunes swung at the weekend making Tuesday's tie an intriguing one. Watford have more quality than their league position suggests, and we fancy them to avoid defeat in South Wales and see a low-scoring draw as the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Watford had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawWatford
46.33% (0.096000000000004 0.1) 25.68% (-0.275 -0.27) 27.99% (0.181 0.18)
Both teams to score 52.21% (0.964 0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.59% (1.198 1.2)51.41% (-1.197 -1.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.78% (1.034 1.03)73.23% (-1.033 -1.03)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.83% (0.55 0.55)22.18% (-0.549 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.43% (0.819 0.82)55.58% (-0.819 -0.82)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.08% (0.77200000000001 0.77)32.92% (-0.77 -0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.5% (0.848 0.85)69.5% (-0.846 -0.85)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 46.32%
    Watford 27.99%
    Draw 25.68%
Swansea CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 10.99% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.057 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.28% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.62% (0.104 0.1)
3-0 @ 4.16% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.109 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.067 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.57% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 46.32%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 7.3% (-0.356 -0.36)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.137 0.14)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 8.11% (-0.218 -0.22)
1-2 @ 6.79% (0.074 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.51% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.51% (0.08 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.089 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.67% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 27.99%

How you voted: Swansea vs Watford

Swansea City
66.7%
Draw
25.0%
Watford
8.3%
48
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester453141089395097
2Ipswich TownIpswich452712690573393
3Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4517131569571264
10Preston North EndPreston45189185664-863
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524
> Championship Full Table


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