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Championship | Gameweek 13
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Watford logo

Swansea
0 - 1
Watford

FT(HT: 0-0)
Sema (82')
Livermore (30'), Hoedt (73'), Kayembe (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 1-3 Leicester
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-0 Sheff Weds
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Watford had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawWatford
46.33% (0.096000000000004 0.1)25.68% (-0.275 -0.27)27.99% (0.181 0.18)
Both teams to score 52.21% (0.964 0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.59% (1.198 1.2)51.41% (-1.197 -1.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.78% (1.034 1.03)73.23% (-1.033 -1.03)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.83% (0.55 0.55)22.18% (-0.549 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.43% (0.819 0.82)55.58% (-0.819 -0.82)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.08% (0.77200000000001 0.77)32.92% (-0.77 -0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.5% (0.848 0.85)69.5% (-0.846 -0.85)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 46.32%
    Watford 27.99%
    Draw 25.68%
Swansea CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 10.99% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.057 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.28% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.62% (0.104 0.1)
3-0 @ 4.16% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.109 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.067 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.57% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 46.32%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 7.3% (-0.356 -0.36)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.137 0.14)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 8.11% (-0.218 -0.22)
1-2 @ 6.79% (0.074 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.51% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.51% (0.08 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.089 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.67% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 27.99%

How you voted: Swansea vs Watford

Swansea City
66.7%
Draw
25.0%
Watford
8.3%
48
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Swansea
4-0
Watford
Piroe (39', 78'), Cullen (74'), Latibeaudiere (87')
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Watford
1-2
Swansea
Sarr (34')
Ntcham (52'), Cabango (90+8')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Watford
2-0
Swansea
Gray (56'), Success (87')
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 23
Swansea
2-1
Watford
Lowe (43', 67')
Guehi (21'), Bidwell (33'), Grimes (45+1')
Cleverley (20')
Chalobah (42'), Masina (90')
Sep 24, 2019 7.45pm
Third Round
Watford
2-1
Swansea
Welbeck (28'), Pereyra (79')
Pereyra (91')
Surridge (34')
Grimes (93')