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Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Watford logo

Cardiff
1 - 1
Watford

FT(HT: 1-0)
Issouf Bayo (54')
Sierralta (39'), Lewis (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Watford
Wednesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Watford

With Cardiff having lost out at Middlesbrough, Watford will sense an opportunity to get back on track. Nevertheless, the Welsh side have been excellent at home this season and we cannot envisage Watford getting over the line, even if they do prove to be competitive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 50.27%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Watford had a probability of 23.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawWatford
50.27% (0.509 0.51) 26.24% (-0.151 -0.15) 23.48% (-0.36 -0.36)
Both teams to score 46.71% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.34% (0.246 0.25)56.66% (-0.248 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.38% (0.198 0.2)77.62% (-0.2 -0.2)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.38% (0.331 0.33)22.62% (-0.333 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.77% (0.491 0.49)56.23% (-0.492 -0.49)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.36% (-0.202 -0.2)39.64% (0.201 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.68% (-0.185 -0.18)76.32% (0.18299999999999 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 50.27%
    Watford 23.48%
    Draw 26.24%
Cardiff CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 13.32%
2-0 @ 9.91% (0.101 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.91% (0.097 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.54% (0.066 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.82% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.69% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 50.27%
1-1 @ 12.33% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.97% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 26.24%
0-1 @ 8.3% (-0.126 -0.13)
1-2 @ 5.71% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.84% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.76% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 23.48%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Watford

Cardiff City
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Watford
14.3%
42
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 43
Watford
1-3
Cardiff
Sarr (11')
Etete (31'), Kipre (35'), Kaba (42')
Nov 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Cardiff
1-2
Watford
Kipre (9')
Sierralta (38'), Sarr (59')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 36
Cardiff
1-2
Watford
Sierralta (14' og.)
Bacuna (81'), Ng (90+2')
Chalobah (15'), Masina (90+3')
Bachmann (39'), Hughes (45+1'), Sarr (82'), Sierralta (85')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 16
Watford
0-1
Cardiff

Perica (89')
Moore (43')
Ojo (60'), Ralls (66')
Feb 22, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Cardiff
1-5
Watford
Bamba (82')
Paterson (85')
Deulofeu (18', 61', 63'), Deeney (73', 91')
Capoue (30'), Pereyra (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich432611685533289
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City441912136556969
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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