/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fcarlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fwat.png)
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Mark McGuinness
26'
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Francisco Sierralta
39'
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Vakoun Issouf Bayo
54'
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Jamal Lewis
65'
Cardiff City vs Watford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 50.27%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Watford had a probability of 23.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
Result
Cardiff City
50.27%
▲
(+0.51)
Draw
26.24%
▼
(-0.16)
Watford
23.48%
▼
(-0.36)
Both Teams to Score:
46.71%
▲
(+0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5
43.34%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 2.5
56.66%
▼
(-0.25)
Over 3.5
22.38%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 3.5
77.62%
▼
(-0.21)
Over 4.5
9.74%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 4.5
90.26%
▼
(-0.13)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5
77.38%
▲
(+0.34)
Under 0.5
22.62%
▼
(-0.34)
Over 1.5
43.77%
▲
(+0.50)
Under 1.5
56.23%
▼
(-0.50)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5
60.36%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 0.5
39.64%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 1.5
23.68%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 1.5
76.32%
▲
(+0.19)
Score analysis
Cardiff City
50.27%
Draw
26.24%
Watford
23.48%
Cardiff City
1-0
@
13.32%
2-0 @ 9.91% ▲ (+0.11)
2-1 @ 9.17% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 4.54% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 50.27%
2-0 @ 9.91% ▲ (+0.11)
2-1 @ 9.17% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 4.54% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 50.27%
Draw
1-1
@
12.33%
▼
(-0.07)
0-0 @ 8.97% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 26.24%
0-0 @ 8.97% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 26.24%
Watford
0-1
@
8.3%
▼
(-0.13)
1-2 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 23.48%
1-2 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 23.48%