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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Coventry City |
33.61% ( 1.38) | 27.28% ( 0.2) | 39.12% ( -1.57) |
Both teams to score 49.76% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.31% ( -0.47) | 55.69% ( 0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.16% ( -0.38) | 76.84% ( 0.39) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.88% ( 0.69) | 31.12% ( -0.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.55% ( 0.8) | 67.45% ( -0.8) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.25% ( -1.09) | 27.75% ( 1.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.68% ( -1.42) | 63.32% ( 1.42) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Coventry City |
1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) Other @ 3% Total : 33.6% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.27% | 0-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.32) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.92% Total : 39.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Leicester CityLeicester | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 39 | 47 | 94 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 43 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 85 | 53 | 32 | 89 |
4 | Southampton | 45 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 84 |
5 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 79 | 63 | 16 | 73 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 44 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 69 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 66 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 19 | 5 | 21 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 62 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 45 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 56 |
15 | Sunderland | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Millwall | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 56 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 50 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 14 | 8 | 23 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 50 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 47 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 45 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 87 | -55 | 24 |
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