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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Coventry City |
| 33.61% ( | 27.28% ( | 39.12% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.76% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.31% ( | 55.69% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.16% ( | 76.84% ( |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.88% ( | 31.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.55% ( | 67.45% ( |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.25% ( | 27.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.68% ( | 63.32% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Coventry City |
| 1-0 @ 10.08% ( 2-1 @ 7.54% ( 2-0 @ 5.88% ( 3-1 @ 2.93% ( 3-0 @ 2.29% ( 3-2 @ 1.88% ( Other @ 3% Total : 33.6% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0-0 @ 8.64% ( 2-2 @ 4.83% ( Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.27% | 0-1 @ 11.07% ( 1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0-2 @ 7.1% ( 1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0-3 @ 3.03% ( 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0-4 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 1.92% Total : 39.12% |