Championship

Championship | Gameweek 8

Sep 23, 2023 at 3pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
3 - 0
Watford

Piroe (67'), Byram (70'), Anthony (89')
Rutter (40'), Rutter (40')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Andrews (43'), Andrews (43'), Bachmann (67'), Issouf Bayo (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Hull City 0-0 Leeds
Wednesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Watford

All competitions

Last Game: Watford 2-2 West Brom
Wednesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for Watford had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Watford
48.94% ( 2.56)	25.01% ( 0.09)	26.05% ( -2.66)

Both teams to score 52.77% (

-2.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.06% (

-2.15)

49.93% (

2.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.08% (

-1.95)

71.92% (

1.94)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.57% (

0.22)

20.43% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.13% (

0.36)

52.87% (

-0.36)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.32% (

-3.18)

33.68% (

3.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.67% (

-3.62)

70.33% (

3.61)

Score Analysis

Leeds United 48.93%

Watford 26.05%

Draw 25.01%

Leeds United	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.98) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.84) 3-1 @ 5% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.47) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.2) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.69% Total : 48.93%	1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.58) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.39) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.01%	0-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.53) 0-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.37) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.43) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.32) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.28) Other @ 2.33% Total : 26.05%