Championship Gameweek 8
Leeds
Sep 23, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Elland Road
Watford
  • Georginio Rutter 40' yellowcard
  • Georginio Rutter 40' yellowcard
  • Joel Piroe 67' goal
  • Sam Byram 70' goal
  • Jaidon Anthony 89' goal
  • yellowcard Ryan Andrews 43'
  • yellowcard Ryan Andrews 43'
  • yellowcard Daniel Bachmann 67'
  • yellowcard Vakoun Issouf Bayo 87'

Leeds United vs Watford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Sep 20, 2023 7.45pm
Hull City 0 - 0 Leeds
Goals scored
85
Top scorer
Crysencio Summerville

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Sep 20, 2023 7.45pm
Watford 2 - 2 West Brom
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Mileta Rajovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for Watford had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result

Leeds United 48.94% ▲ (+0.18)
Draw 25.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Watford 26.05% ▼ (-0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.77% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.06% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 49.93% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 28.08% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 71.92% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 13.36% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 86.63% ▲ (+0.03)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 79.57% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 20.43% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 47.13% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 52.87% ▼ (-0.09)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 66.32% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 0.5 33.68% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 1.5 29.67% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 1.5 70.33% ▲ (+0.17)

Score analysis

Leeds United 48.93%
Draw 25.01%
Watford 26.05%
Leeds United
1-0 @ 10.92% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.44% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.68% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 48.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 6.88% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.14% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 25.01%
Watford
0-1 @ 7.49% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.47% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 26.05%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 32
Watford
Apr 9, 2022 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Leeds
  • Imran Louza 57' yellowcard
  • Moussa Sissoko 80' yellowcard
  • goal Raphinha 21'
  • goal Rodrigo 73'
  • goal Jack Harrison 85'
Premier League Gameweek 7
Leeds
Oct 2, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Watford
  • Diego Llorente 18' goal
  • yellowcard Kiko Femenia 59'
  • yellowcard Ismaila Sarr 65'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Dennis 90'
FA Cup
Watford
Feb 20, 2016 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Leeds
  • Juan Carlos Paredes 32' yellowcard
  • Scott Wootton 53' goal
  • Craig Cathcart 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Giuseppe Bellusci 24'
  • yellowcard Liam Bridcutt 52'
Championship
Leeds
Feb 28, 2015 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT
Watford
  • Billy Sharp 7' goal
  • Rodolph Austin 19' goal
  • Lewis Cook 21' yellowcard
  • goal Troy Deeney 39'
  • yellowcard Ben Watson 49'
  • goal Matej Vydra 56'
  • goal Matej Vydra 81'
  • yellowcard Almen Abdi 87'
Championship
Watford
Aug 23, 2014 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Leeds
  • Fernando Forestieri 20' goal
  • Daniel Tozser 42' yellowcard
  • Gabriele Angella 47' yellowcard
  • Troy Deeney 58' goal
  • Fernando Forestieri 67' goal
  • Daniel Tozser 91' goal
  • goal Gabriel Tamas 32' (OG)
  • redcard Giuseppe Bellusci 57'
  • yellowcard Luke Murphy 85'
  • yellowcard Rodolph Austin 90'
  • redcard Sam Byram 93'
Championship
Watford
Apr 8, 2014 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Leeds
  • Almen Abdi 9' goal
  • Marco Cassetti 28' yellowcard
  • Ikechi Anya 31' goal
  • Troy Deeney 67' goal
  • yellowcard Scott Wootton 49'
  • yellowcard Noel Hunt 61'

Form Data

Hull City 0 - 0 Leeds
Millwall 0 - 3 Leeds
Leeds 0 - 0 Sheff Weds
Salford City 1 - 1 Leeds
Ipswich 3 - 4 Leeds
Leeds 1 - 1 West Brom
Watford 2 - 2 West Brom
Watford 2 - 0 Birmingham
Coventry 3 - 3 Watford
Watford 0 - 1 Blackburn
Stoke 1 - 0 Watford
Watford 0 - 0 Plymouth