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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Sheffield Wednesday logo

Watford
1 - 0
Sheff Weds

Asprilla (82')
Porteous (45'), Lewis (50')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hendrick (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Watford
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 22.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Sheffield Wednesday win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Watford.

Result
WatfordDrawSheffield Wednesday
54.17% (0.149 0.15)23.58% (0.012 0.01)22.24% (-0.16 -0.16)
Both teams to score 53.12% (-0.238 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.54% (-0.218 -0.22)47.46% (0.218 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.33% (-0.202 -0.2)69.67% (0.202 0.2)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.58% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)17.42% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.13% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)47.86% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.33% (-0.27000000000001 -0.27)35.66% (0.271 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.56% (-0.278 -0.28)72.43% (0.28 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Watford 54.17%
    Sheffield Wednesday 22.24%
    Draw 23.58%
WatfordDrawSheffield Wednesday
1-0 @ 10.85% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.78%
2-0 @ 9.49% (0.07 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.7% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 5.53% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.49% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.41% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 54.17%
1-1 @ 11.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.21% (0.056 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.58%
0-1 @ 6.41% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.77% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.3% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 22.24%

How you voted: Watford vs Sheff Weds

Watford
73.9%
Draw
4.3%
Sheffield Wednesday
21.7%
23
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 39
Watford
1-0
Sheff Weds
Lees (7' og.)
Sierralta (30'), Hughes (64')

Borner (3'), Urhoghide (38'), Reach (41'), Wildsmith (78')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 2
Sheff Weds
0-0
Watford
Luongo (65'), Bannan (68')
Chalobah (81'), Garner (88')