/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fstolog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fleelog.png)
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Jordan Thompson
62'
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Pascal Struijk
80'
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Willy Gnonto
68'
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Georginio Rutter
78'
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Crysencio Summerville
90'+2'
Stoke City vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
Result
Stoke City
38.74%
▼
(-0.66)
Draw
25.1%
▲
(+0.42)
Leeds United
36.15%
▲
(+0.24)
Both Teams to Score:
57.34%
▼
(-1.48)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.83%
▼
(-1.92)
Under 2.5
46.17%
▲
(+1.92)
Over 3.5
31.53%
▼
(-1.84)
Under 3.5
68.46%
▲
(+1.84)
Over 4.5
15.74%
▼
(-1.33)
Under 4.5
84.25%
▲
(+1.32)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5
76.42%
▼
(-1.19)
Under 0.5
23.57%
▲
(+1.19)
Over 1.5
42.36%
▼
(-1.75)
Under 1.5
57.64%
▲
(+1.74)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5
75.03%
▼
(-0.76)
Under 0.5
24.96%
▲
(+0.75)
Over 1.5
40.39%
▼
(-1.06)
Under 1.5
59.61%
▲
(+1.06)
Score analysis
Stoke City
38.74%
Draw
25.1%
Leeds United
36.15%
Stoke City
2-1
@
8.53%
▼
(-0.09)
1-0 @ 8.5% ▲ (+0.40)
2-0 @ 6.14% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.19)
3-0 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.20)
4-1 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.13)
4-0 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 38.74%
1-0 @ 8.5% ▲ (+0.40)
2-0 @ 6.14% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.19)
3-0 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.20)
4-1 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.13)
4-0 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 38.74%
Draw
1-1
@
11.8%
▲
(+0.31)
2-2 @ 5.92% ▼ (-0.19)
0-0 @ 5.89% ▲ (+0.47)
3-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.1%
2-2 @ 5.92% ▼ (-0.19)
0-0 @ 5.89% ▲ (+0.47)
3-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.1%
Leeds United
1-2
@
8.19%
▲
(+0.03)
0-1 @ 8.17% ▲ (+0.48)
0-2 @ 5.67% ▲ (+0.22)
1-3 @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.15)
0-3 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 36.15%
0-1 @ 8.17% ▲ (+0.48)
0-2 @ 5.67% ▲ (+0.22)
1-3 @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.15)
0-3 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 36.15%
Pontus Jansson
76'