Championship
Gameweek
9
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-
Adam Armstrong
2'
-
Adam Armstrong
12'
-
William Smallbone
18'
-
William Smallbone
31'
-
Adam Armstrong
35'
-
Jan Bednarek
37'
-
Shea Charles
76'
-
Glen Kamara
33'
-
Pascal Struijk
58'
Southampton vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Southampton win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
Result
Southampton
29.47%
▼
(-2.69)
Draw
23.39%
▲
(+0.23)
Leeds United
47.14%
▲
(+2.46)
Both Teams to Score:
60.9%
▼
(-2.35)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.55%
▼
(-2.45)
Under 2.5
40.45%
▲
(+2.45)
Over 3.5
37.17%
▼
(-2.57)
Under 3.5
62.82%
▲
(+2.56)
Over 4.5
19.91%
▼
(-2.02)
Under 4.5
80.08%
▲
(+2.02)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5
73.75%
▼
(-2.85)
Under 0.5
26.24%
▲
(+2.85)
Over 1.5
38.64%
▼
(-3.98)
Under 1.5
61.35%
▲
(+3.98)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5
82.57%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
17.43%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
52.12%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
47.88%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Southampton
29.47%
Draw
23.39%
Leeds United
47.14%
Southampton
2-1
@
7.15%
▼
(-0.37)
1-0 @ 6.12% ▲ (+0.20)
2-0 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.21)
3-1 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.46)
3-2 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.40)
3-0 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.26)
4-1 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.26)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 29.47%
1-0 @ 6.12% ▲ (+0.20)
2-0 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.21)
3-1 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.46)
3-2 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.40)
3-0 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.26)
4-1 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.26)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 29.47%
Draw
1-1
@
10.69%
▲
(+0.35)
2-2 @ 6.25% ▼ (-0.32)
0-0 @ 4.57% ▲ (+0.50)
3-3 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.23)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.39%
2-2 @ 6.25% ▼ (-0.32)
0-0 @ 4.57% ▲ (+0.50)
3-3 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.23)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.39%
Leeds United
1-2
@
9.34%
▲
(+0.30)
0-1 @ 7.99% ▲ (+0.87)
0-2 @ 6.98% ▲ (+0.76)
1-3 @ 5.44% ▲ (+0.18)
0-3 @ 4.07% ▲ (+0.45)
2-3 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.19)
1-4 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.08)
0-4 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.20)
2-4 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 47.14%
0-1 @ 7.99% ▲ (+0.87)
0-2 @ 6.98% ▲ (+0.76)
1-3 @ 5.44% ▲ (+0.18)
0-3 @ 4.07% ▲ (+0.45)
2-3 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.19)
1-4 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.08)
0-4 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.20)
2-4 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 47.14%
Head to Head
Premier League
Gameweek
25
-
Junior Firpo
77'
Premier League
Gameweek
2
-
Joe Aribo
72'
-
Mohammed Salisu
78'
-
Kyle Walker-Peters
81'
-
Jack Harrison
43'
-
Rasmus Kristensen
45'
-
Rodrigo
46'
-
Rodrigo
60'
-
Brenden Aaronson
90'+3'
Premier League
Gameweek
31
-
Jack Harrison
29'
-
Luke Ayling
58'
-
Jesse Marsch
90'+3'
-
James Ward-Prowse
49'
-
Mohamed Elyounoussi
63'
Premier League
Gameweek
8
-
Armando Broja
53'
-
Jan Bednarek
75'
-
Alex McCarthy
83'
-
Tyler Roberts
47'
-
Pascal Struijk
58'
-
Diego Llorente
70'
Premier League
Gameweek
37
-
Kalvin Phillips
34'
-
Stuart Dallas
56'
-
Pascal Struijk
66'
-
Patrick Bamford
73'
-
Tyler Roberts
90'+5'
Premier League
Gameweek
18
-
Patrick Bamford
47'
-
Stuart Dallas
78'
-
Raphinha
84'
-
Raphinha
85'
-
Jannik Vestergaard
26'
-
Moussa Djenepo
83'