Championship Gameweek 11
Leeds
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Elland Road
Bristol City
  • Daniel James 37' goal
  • Joel Piroe 53' goal
  • Joe Rodon 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Williams 6'
  • yellowcard Taylor Gardner-Hickman 45'+3'
  • goal Kal Naismith 45'+4'

Leeds United vs Bristol City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Oct 4, 2023 7.45pm
Leeds 1 - 0 QPR
Goals scored
85
Top scorer
Crysencio Summerville

Bristol City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 4, 2023 8.00pm
Rotherham 1 - 2 Bristol City
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Tommy Conway

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 50.21%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 24.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Leeds United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result

Leeds United 50.21% ▲ (+0.84)
Draw 25.1% ▼ (-0.06)
Bristol City 24.69% ▼ (-0.78)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.24% ▼ (-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.66% ▼ (-0.39)
Under 2.5 51.34% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 3.5 26.84% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 3.5 73.16% ▲ (+0.35)
Over 4.5 12.54% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 4.5 87.46% ▲ (+0.23)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 79.54% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 0.5 20.46% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 1.5 47.08% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 1.5 52.92% ▼ (-0.31)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5 64.41% ▼ (-0.88)
Under 0.5 35.58% ▲ (+0.88)
Over 1.5 27.65% ▼ (-0.92)
Under 1.5 72.35% ▲ (+0.92)

Score analysis

Leeds United 50.21%
Draw 25.09%
Bristol City 24.69%
Leeds United
1-0 @ 11.55% ▲ (+0.25)
2-1 @ 9.47% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 9.17% ▲ (+0.25)
3-1 @ 5.01% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.85% ▲ (+0.16)
3-2 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.08)
4-2 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 50.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.93% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 7.28% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.09%
Bristol City
0-1 @ 7.52% ▼ (-0.07)
1-2 @ 6.17% ▼ (-0.17)
0-2 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.11)
2-3 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 24.69%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 33
Leeds
Feb 15, 2020 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Elland Road
Bristol City
  • Luke Ayling 16' goal
  • Stuart Dallas 55' yellowcard
  • Mateusz Klich 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Callum O'Dowda 58'
  • yellowcard Tomas Kalas 81'
Championship Gameweek 1
Bristol City
Aug 4, 2019 4.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Leeds
  • Marlon Pack 47' yellowcard
  • Kasey Palmer 55' yellowcard
  • Andreas Weimann 79' goal
  • Matty Taylor 88' yellowcard
  • goal Pablo Hernandez 26'
  • yellowcard Adam Forshaw 48'
  • yellowcard Pablo Hernandez 54'
  • goal Patrick Bamford 57'
  • goal Jack Harrison 72'
Championship Gameweek 36
Bristol City
Mar 9, 2019 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Ashton Gate Stadium (Bristol)
Leeds
  • Antoine Semenyo 34' yellowcard
  • Bailey Wright 61' yellowcard
  • Famara Diedhiou 81' yellowcard
  • Adam Webster 87' yellowcard
  • goal Patrick Bamford 9'
  • yellowcard Liam Cooper 19'
  • yellowcard Luke Ayling 80'
  • yellowcard Ezgjan Alioski 88'
  • yellowcard Barry Douglas 90'
Championship Gameweek 18
Leeds
Nov 24, 2018 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Elland Road (Leeds, West Yorkshire)
Bristol City
  • Ezgjan Alioski 27' yellowcard
  • Kemar Roofe 69' goal
  • Pablo Hernandez 86' goal
  • yellowcard Josh Brownhill 20'
  • redcard Josh Brownhill 55'
Championship
Leeds
Feb 18, 2018 4.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Bristol City
  • Matthew Pennington 44' yellowcard
  • Pierre-Michel Lasogga 72' goal
  • Kalvin Phillips 75' yellowcard
  • Kemar Roofe 80' goal
  • goal Famara Diedhiou 11'
  • goal Bobby Reid 16'
  • yellowcard Bailey Wright 55'
  • yellowcard Josh Brownhill 79'
  • yellowcard Marlon Pack 86'
Championship
Bristol City
Oct 21, 2017 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
Leeds
  • Jens Hegeler 65' yellowcard
  • Bailey Wright 75' yellowcard
  • Matt Taylor 80' redcard
  • Bobby Reid 82' yellowcard
  • goal Samuel Saiz 4'
  • goal Samuel Saiz 14'
  • yellowcard Matthew Pennington 35'
  • yellowcard Ronaldo Vieira 53'
  • goal Pierre-Michel Lasogga 67'
  • redcard Gaetano Berardi 79'
  • yellowcard Kalvin Phillips 82'

Form Data

Leeds 1 - 0 QPR
Southampton 3 - 1 Leeds
Leeds 3 - 0 Watford
Hull City 0 - 0 Leeds
Millwall 0 - 3 Leeds
Leeds 0 - 0 Sheff Weds
Rotherham 1 - 2 Bristol City
Bristol City 2 - 3 Stoke
Leicester 1 - 0 Bristol City
Bristol City 4 - 1 Plymouth
Bristol City 0 - 0 West Brom
Swansea 1 - 2 Bristol City