Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 43.08%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.