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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 43.08%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Leeds United |
| 43.08% | 24.84% ( | 32.08% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.22% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.1% ( | 45.9% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.79% ( | 68.21% |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.66% ( | 21.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.7% ( | 54.3% |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.74% ( | 27.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.31% ( | 62.69% |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City | Draw | Leeds United |
| 2-1 @ 9.02% 1-0 @ 8.99% 2-0 @ 6.94% 3-1 @ 4.64% 3-0 @ 3.57% 3-2 @ 3.02% 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.38% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.56% Total : 43.08% | 1-1 @ 11.67% 2-2 @ 5.86% 0-0 @ 5.82% 3-3 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.83% | 1-2 @ 7.59% 0-1 @ 7.56% 0-2 @ 4.91% 1-3 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.54% 0-3 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.99% Total : 32.08% |