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Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 24, 2023 at 8pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Leeds logo

Rotherham
1 - 1
Leeds

Odofin (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 5-0 Rotherham
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Plymouth
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Rotherham United 1-4 Leeds United

With this being a derby and one of their toughest fixtures on the calendar, Rotherham may play with a sense of freedom. Nevertheless, we expect Leeds to continue their recent resurgence, producing a ruthless performance to keep Leicester and Ipswich looking over their shoulder. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 49.4%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 2-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawLeeds United
26.85% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 23.76% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 49.4% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 57.58% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.07% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)43.92% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.69% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)66.31% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.13% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)29.87% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.04% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)65.96% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.11% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)17.89% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.32% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)48.68% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 26.85%
    Leeds United 49.4%
    Draw 23.75%
Rotherham UnitedDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 6.71% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 6.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 2.7% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.57% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 26.85%
1-1 @ 11.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.75%
1-2 @ 9.56%
0-1 @ 9.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 5.49% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 4.54% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 3.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.36% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.95%
2-4 @ 1.43% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 49.4%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Leeds

Rotherham United
7.4%
Draw
11.8%
Leeds United
80.9%
68
Head to Head
Jan 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 29
Rotherham
1-2
Leeds
Ajayi (28')
Robertson (79')
Klich (51', 86')
Casilla (90'), Phillips (90')
Aug 18, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 3
Leeds
2-0
Rotherham
Ayling (49'), Roofe (72')

Taylor (16')
Jan 2, 2017 3pm
Leeds
3-0
Rotherham
Bartley (47'), Wood (66', 79')
Jansson (57')

Mattock (53')
Nov 26, 2016 5.30pm
Rotherham
1-2
Leeds
Wood (87')
Odemwingie (29')
Wood (14'), Doukara (45')
O'Kane (54'), Green (93')
Apr 2, 2016 3pm
Rotherham
2-1
Leeds
Frecklington (27'), Halford (90' pen.)
Best (44')
Derbyshire (61')
Murphy (79')
Bridcutt (57'), Bellusci (68')
Silvestri (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds442713489296094
2Burnley442616261154694
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd442771060352586
4Sunderland4421131058411776
5Bristol City441716115749867
6Coventry CityCoventry44199166257566
7Middlesbrough441891764541063
8Millwall441712154546-163
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn44188185046462
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom441418125244860
11Swansea CitySwansea44179184852-460
12Watford44168205158-756
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds441511185867-956
14Norwich CityNorwich441314176766153
15Queens Park RangersQPR441314175258-653
16Portsmouth441410205669-1352
17Stoke CityStoke441214184560-1550
18Preston North EndPreston441019154555-1049
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd441213194462-1849
20Hull City441212204352-948
21Derby CountyDerby441210224756-946
22Luton TownLuton441210224164-2346
23Cardiff CityCardiff44916194669-2343
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth441013214885-3743


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