/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fwat.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Frotlog.png)
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Mileta Rajovic
10'
-
Mileta Rajovic
45'+4'
-
Edo Kayembe
54'
-
Ryan Porteous
58'
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Yaser Asprilla
61'
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Tom Ince
86'
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Matheus Martins
90'+4'
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Cafu
45'
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Matt Taylor
46'
Watford vs Rotherham United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 66.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 12.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.41%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
Result
Watford
66.21%
▼
(-0.07)
Draw
20.95%
▲
(+0.05)
Rotherham United
12.85%
▲
(+0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
42.93%
▼
(-0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.54%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 2.5
51.46%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 3.5
26.73%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 3.5
73.27%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 4.5
12.47%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 4.5
87.53%
▲
(+0.07)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5
85.26%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
14.73%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 1.5
57.05%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 1.5
42.95%
▲
(+0.12)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5
50.35%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 0.5
49.65%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
15.59%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
84.41%
▲
(+0.03)
Score analysis
Watford
66.2%
Draw
20.95%
Rotherham United
12.85%
Watford
1-0
@
14%
▲
(+0.03)
2-0 @ 13.41% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.39% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.56% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 66.2%
2-0 @ 13.41% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.39% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.56% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 66.2%
Draw
1-1
@
9.81%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.32% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 20.95%
0-0 @ 7.32% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 20.95%
Rotherham United
0-1
@
5.12%
▲
(+0.02)
1-2 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 12.85%
1-2 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 12.85%