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Championship | Gameweek 14
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Millwall logo

Watford
2 - 2
Millwall

Asprilla (7'), Rajovic (90+2')
Livermore (37'), Asprilla (50'), Sema (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Flemming (12'), Harding (85')
Flemming (27'), Saville (38'), Norton-Cuffy (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 0-1 Watford
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-2 Blackburn
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-1 Millwall

Ismael will be confident that his side are more settled and capable of quickly becoming promotion contenders. Nevertheless, we are yet to see that kind of consistency from them, leading us to back a low-scoring draw between two well-match sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
WatfordDrawMillwall
41.38% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 27.25% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 31.37% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.22% (0.055000000000007 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.91% (0.075999999999993 0.08)56.09% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.84% (0.062000000000001 0.06)77.16% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.31% (0.060000000000002 0.06)26.69% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.06% (0.079000000000001 0.08)61.94% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.14% (0.022000000000006 0.02)32.86% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.57% (0.023999999999997 0.02)69.43% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Watford 41.38%
    Millwall 31.37%
    Draw 27.25%
WatfordDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 11.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.52% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.75% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.37% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 41.38%
1-1 @ 12.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.77% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.74% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.25%
0-1 @ 9.76% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.17%
0-2 @ 5.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 31.37%

How you voted: Watford vs Millwall

Watford
61.9%
Draw
28.6%
Millwall
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 24
Watford
0-2
Millwall
Voglsammer (22'), Flemming (83')
Oct 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 16
Millwall
3-0
Watford
Bradshaw (8', 26', 33')
Jul 19, 2022 7.45pm
Club Friendlies
Millwall
0-0
Watford
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 44
Watford
1-0
Millwall
Sarr (11' pen.)

Muller (86')
Jan 26, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 22
Millwall
0-0
Watford
Kieftenbeld (27'), Cooper (33')
Masina (45+1'), Cleverley (45+2'), Chalobah (56'), Sierralta (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich432611685533289
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City441912136556969
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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