Championship

Championship | Gameweek 14

Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
2 - 2
Millwall

Asprilla (7'), Rajovic (90+2')
Livermore (37'), Asprilla (50'), Sema (79')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Flemming (12'), Harding (85')
Flemming (27'), Saville (38'), Norton-Cuffy (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions

Last Game: Swansea 0-1 Watford
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Millwall

All competitions

Last Game: Millwall 1-2 Blackburn
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Watford	Draw	Millwall
41.38% ( 0.05)	27.25% ( -0.02)	31.37% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 49.22% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.91% (

0.08)

56.09% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.84% (

0.06)

77.16% (

-0.06)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.31% (

0.06)

26.69% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.06% (

0.08)

61.94% (

-0.08)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.14% (

0.02)

32.86% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.57% (

0.02)

69.43% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Watford 41.38%

Millwall 31.37%

Draw 27.25%

Watford	Draw	Millwall
1-0 @ 11.58% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.65% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.08% Total : 41.38%	1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.25%	0-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.17% 0-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 31.37%