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Championship | Gameweek 13
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Den
Blackburn logo

Millwall
1 - 2
Blackburn

Harding (3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rankin-Costello (22'), Brittain (51')
Dolan (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Millwall and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 1-1 Millwall
Saturday, October 21 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-2 Blackburn Rovers

Saturday's 1-0 win was somewhat of a rarity for Blackburn Rovers, who have seen plenty of goals at both ends of the pitch in most of their Championship outings so far this season, and we anticipate another relatively eventful affair on Tuesday with the visitors' back-to-back wins perhaps inspiring a narrow triumph at The Den. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 45%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Millwall win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match.

Result
MillwallDrawBlackburn Rovers
30.55% (1.619 1.62) 24.45% (-0.09 -0.09) 45% (-1.532 -1.53)
Both teams to score 57.85% (1.286 1.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.25% (1.25 1.25)44.75% (-1.251 -1.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.89% (1.194 1.19)67.11% (-1.195 -1.19)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.32% (1.738 1.74)27.68% (-1.739 -1.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.76% (2.178 2.18)63.23% (-2.18 -2.18)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.99% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)20.01% (0.146 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.79% (-0.238 -0.24)52.2% (0.238 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 30.55%
    Blackburn Rovers 45%
    Draw 24.44%
MillwallDrawBlackburn Rovers
2-1 @ 7.35% (0.282 0.28)
1-0 @ 7.11% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.57% (0.196 0.2)
3-1 @ 3.15% (0.264 0.26)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.202 0.2)
3-0 @ 1.96% (0.172 0.17)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.129 0.13)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 30.55%
1-1 @ 11.44% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.91% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 5.54% (-0.305 -0.31)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 9.21% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-1 @ 8.91% (-0.533 -0.53)
0-2 @ 7.17% (-0.464 -0.46)
1-3 @ 4.94% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.85% (-0.268 -0.27)
2-3 @ 3.17% (0.093 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.99% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.55% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 45%

How you voted: Millwall vs Blackburn

Millwall
35.3%
Draw
35.3%
Blackburn Rovers
29.4%
34
Head to Head
May 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 46
Millwall
3-4
Blackburn
Watmore (8', 37'), Burke (39')
Wharton (22'), Rankin-Costello (51'), Brereton Diaz (63', 86')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Blackburn
2-1
Millwall
Dolan (57'), Brereton Diaz (63')
Cooper (75')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Blackburn
0-0
Millwall
Cooper (41'), Wallace (67'), Saville (73')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Millwall
1-1
Blackburn
Wallace (64')
Kieftenbeld (60')
Brereton Diaz (76')
Lenihan (52'), Ayala (82')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 35
Millwall
0-2
Blackburn

Woods (43'), Evans (77')
Dack (18'), Gallagher (75')
Brereton (56'), Gallagher (65'), Trybull (77'), Kaminski (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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