Championship Gameweek 13
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT The Den
  • Wes Harding 3' goal
  • goal Joe Rankin-Costello 22'
  • goal Callum Brittain 51'
  • yellowcard Tyrhys Dolan 90'+3'

Millwall vs Blackburn Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Oct 21, 2023 12.30pm
Preston 1 - 1 Millwall
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Zian Flemming

Blackburn Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm
Blackburn 1 - 0 Cardiff
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Sammie Szmodics

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 45%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Millwall win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match.

Result

Millwall 30.55% (+1.62)
Draw 24.45% (-0.09)
Blackburn Rovers 45% (-1.54)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.85% (+1.29)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.25% (+1.25)
Under 2.5 44.75% (-1.26)
Over 3.5 32.89% (+1.20)
Under 3.5 67.11% (-1.20)
Over 4.5 16.71% (+0.86)
Under 4.5 83.28% (-0.86)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 72.32% (+1.74)
Under 0.5 27.68% (-1.74)
Over 1.5 36.76% (+2.18)
Under 1.5 63.23% (-2.19)

Blackburn Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 79.99% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 20.01% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 47.79% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 52.2% (+0.24)

Score analysis

Millwall 30.55%
Draw 24.44%
Blackburn Rovers 45%
Millwall
2-1 @ 7.35% (+0.29)
1-0 @ 7.11% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 4.57% (+0.20)
3-1 @ 3.15% (+0.27)
3-2 @ 2.53% (+0.21)
3-0 @ 1.96% (+0.18)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-87.19)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 30.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.44% (-0.12)
2-2 @ 5.91% (+0.20)
0-0 @ 5.54% (-0.31)
3-3 @ 1.36% (+0.11)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.44%
Blackburn Rovers
1-2 @ 9.21% (-0.14)
0-1 @ 8.91% (-0.54)
0-2 @ 7.17% (-0.47)
1-3 @ 4.94% (-0.10)
0-3 @ 3.85% (-0.27)
2-3 @ 3.17% (+0.10)
1-4 @ 1.99% (-0.05)
0-4 @ 1.55% (-0.12)
2-4 @ 1.28% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 45%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 3.00pm
3
4
HT : 3 1
FT The Den
  • Duncan Watmore 8' goal
  • Duncan Watmore 37' goal
  • Oliver Burke 39' goal
  • goal Adam Wharton 22'
  • goal Joe Rankin-Costello 51'
  • goal Ben Brereton Diaz 63'
  • goal Ben Brereton Diaz 86'
Championship Gameweek 12
Oct 1, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Ewood Park
  • Tyrhys Dolan 57' goal
  • Ben Brereton Diaz 63' goal
  • goal Jake Cooper 75'
Championship Gameweek 33
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jan Paul van Hecke 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jake Cooper 41'
  • yellowcard Murray Wallace 67'
  • yellowcard George Saville 73'
Championship Gameweek 2
Aug 14, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
  • Maikel Kieftenbeld 60' yellowcard
  • Jed Wallace 64' goal
  • yellowcard Darragh Lenihan 52'
  • goal Ben Brereton Diaz 76'
  • yellowcard Daniel Ayala 82'
Championship Gameweek 35
Mar 6, 2021 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Den
  • Ryan Woods 43' yellowcard
  • George Evans 77' yellowcard
  • goal Bradley Dack 18'
  • yellowcard Ben Brereton 56'
  • yellowcard Sam Gallagher 65'
  • goal Sam Gallagher 75'
  • yellowcard Tom Trybull 77'
  • yellowcard Thomas Kaminski 85'
Championship Gameweek 15
Dec 2, 2020 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Ewood Park
  • Harvey Elliott 25' goal
  • Adam Armstrong 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Shaun Williams 19'
  • goal Scott Malone 34'
  • yellowcard Murray Wallace 64'