Championship

Championship | Gameweek 11

Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Den

Millwall
2 - 2
Hull City

Watmore (8'), Bryan (54')
McNamara (9'), Harding (36'), De Norre (52'), Bryan (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Philogene-Bidace (25'), Traore (30')
Allsop (51'), Connolly (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions

Last Game: Plymouth 0-2 Millwall
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hull City

All competitions

Last Game: Ipswich 3-0 Hull City
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 48.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 25.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Hull City
48.79% ( 0.36)	25.88% ( -0.07)	25.32% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 49.5% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.09% (

0.07)

53.91% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.63% (

0.05)

75.37% (

-0.06)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.88% (

0.19)

22.12% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.51% (

0.28)

55.49% (

-0.28)

Hull City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.56% (

-0.21)

36.44% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.77% (

-0.21)

73.22% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Millwall 48.79%

Hull City 25.33%

Draw 25.88%

Millwall	Draw	Hull City
1-0 @ 12.16% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.08% Total : 48.79%	1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.88%	0-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.85% Total : 25.33%