Championship

Championship | Gameweek 11

Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK

St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton
1 - 1
Rotherham

Armstrong (2')
Deen Sulemana (33'), Bednarek (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hugill (74')
Peltier (31'), Tiehi (68'), Clucas (76'), Lembikisa (84'), Kelly (90+2'), Appiah (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Southampton and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Southampton
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rotherham United

All competitions

Last Game: Rotherham 1-2 Bristol City
Wednesday, October 4 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 53.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 21.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Rotherham United
53.62% ( 0.74)	24.55% ( -0.28)	21.82% ( -0.46)

Both teams to score 49.6% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.13% (

0.62)

51.86% (

-0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.38% (

0.53)

73.62% (

-0.53)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.71% (

0.53)

19.28% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.97% (

0.87)

51.02% (

-0.87)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.45% (

-0.11)

38.55% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.7% (

-0.1)

75.29% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Southampton 53.61%

Rotherham United 21.82%

Draw 24.55%

Southampton	Draw	Rotherham United
1-0 @ 12.23% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.95% Total : 53.61%	1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 24.55%	0-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.5% Total : 21.82%