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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 15.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.35%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hull City would win this match.
Result | ||
Hull City | Draw | Rotherham United |
62.37% ( 0.72) | 22.26% ( -0.31) | 15.37% ( -0.4) |
Both teams to score 45.3% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.25% ( 0.53) | 51.74% ( -0.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.48% ( 0.46) | 73.51% ( -0.46) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.92% ( 0.43) | 16.07% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.54% ( 0.78) | 45.46% ( -0.77) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.98% ( -0.23) | 46.02% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.26% ( -0.18) | 81.74% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Hull City | Draw | Rotherham United |
1-0 @ 13.52% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 12.35% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.88% Total : 62.36% | 1-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.64% Total : 22.25% | 0-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.31% Total : 15.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Leicester CityLeicester | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 39 | 47 | 94 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 43 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 85 | 53 | 32 | 89 |
4 | Southampton | 44 | 25 | 9 | 10 | 85 | 61 | 24 | 84 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 44 | 20 | 12 | 12 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 72 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 44 | 21 | 9 | 14 | 77 | 61 | 16 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 44 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 69 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 43 | 17 | 12 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 63 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 63 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 44 | 19 | 5 | 20 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 62 |
12 | Bristol City | 44 | 16 | 11 | 17 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 59 |
13 | Sunderland | 44 | 16 | 8 | 20 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 56 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 44 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 62 | -5 | 56 |
15 | Watford | 44 | 12 | 17 | 15 | 59 | 58 | 1 | 53 |
16 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
17 | Millwall | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 50 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 49 |
20 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 44 | 12 | 12 | 20 | 58 | 69 | -11 | 48 |
21 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 44 | 13 | 8 | 23 | 39 | 68 | -29 | 47 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 46 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 44 | 9 | 17 | 18 | 47 | 74 | -27 | 44 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 44 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | 85 | -53 | 24 |
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