Championship

Championship | Gameweek 12

Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK

KCOM Stadium

Hull City
1 - 2
Southampton

Delap (25', 25')
Philogene-Bidace (45+1'), Philogene-Bidace (45+1'), Christie (46'), Christie (46'), Morton (52'), Morton (52'), Sayyadmanesh (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Smallbone (20', 20'), Fraser (90+5')
Manning (39'), Manning (39'), Alcaraz (48'), Alcaraz (48'), Fraser (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Hull City and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hull City

All competitions

Last Game: Millwall 2-2 Hull City
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Southampton

All competitions

Last Game: Southampton 1-1 Rotherham
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 37.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Hull City win was 2-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Southampton in this match.

Result
Hull City	Draw	Southampton
37.5% ( -0.72)	24.44% ( -0.38)	38.05% ( 1.09)

Both teams to score 59.82% (

1.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57% (

1.81)

43% (

-1.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.6% (

1.77)

65.4% (

-1.77)

Hull City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.2% (

0.44)

22.79% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.5% (

0.65)

56.5% (

-0.65)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.49% (

1.39)

22.51% (

-1.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.92% (

2.03)

56.08% (

-2.03)

Score Analysis

Hull City 37.5%

Southampton 38.05%

Draw 24.44%

Hull City	Draw	Southampton
2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.52) 2-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.31) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.3% Total : 37.5%	1-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.42) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.44%	1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.3) 0-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.21) 0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.15) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.12) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.36% Total : 38.05%