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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.11%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Stoke City |
| 34.28% ( | 23.5% | 42.22% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.11% | 38.89% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.79% | 61.21% ( |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.37% ( | 22.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.75% ( | 56.25% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.19% | 18.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.77% ( | 50.23% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Stoke City |
| 2-1 @ 7.85% ( 1-0 @ 6.32% ( 2-0 @ 4.7% 3-1 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 3.25% 3-0 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.29% Total : 34.28% | 1-1 @ 10.56% 2-2 @ 6.56% 0-0 @ 4.26% 3-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.5% | 1-2 @ 8.83% 0-1 @ 7.11% 0-2 @ 5.94% 1-3 @ 4.92% 2-3 @ 3.65% ( 0-3 @ 3.31% ( 1-4 @ 2.05% 2-4 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.5% Total : 42.22% |