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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 19
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Stoke logo

Plymouth
2 - 1
Stoke

Bundu (43'), Randell (90+7')
Houghton (7'), Schumacher (8')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Campbell (23')
Vidigal (57'), Pearson (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 1-0 Plymouth
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 4-2 Stoke
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.11%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawStoke City
34.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)23.5%42.22% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Both teams to score 62.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.11%38.89% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.79%61.21% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.37% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)22.63% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.75% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)56.25%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.19%18.81% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)50.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 34.28%
    Stoke City 42.22%
    Draw 23.5%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawStoke City
2-1 @ 7.85% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 6.32% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 4.7%
3-1 @ 3.89%
3-2 @ 3.25%
3-0 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 1.45%
4-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 34.28%
1-1 @ 10.56%
2-2 @ 6.56%
0-0 @ 4.26%
3-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.5%
1-2 @ 8.83%
0-1 @ 7.11%
0-2 @ 5.94%
1-3 @ 4.92%
2-3 @ 3.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 3.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 2.05%
2-4 @ 1.53%
0-4 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 42.22%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Stoke

Plymouth Argyle
67.9%
Draw
10.7%
Stoke City
21.4%
28
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2007 3pm
Plymouth
2-2
Stoke
Timar (67'), Ebanks-Blake (44')
Norris (73')
Shawcross (57'), Cresswell (8')
Fuller (86')
Hoult (82')
Sep 22, 2007 3pm
Stoke
3-2
Plymouth
Lawrence (66'), Fuller (73'), Seip (10' og.)
Seip (52'), Fallon (59')
Timar (37'), Nalis (76'), Buzsaky (79')
Mar 3, 2007 3pm
Aug 26, 2006 3pm
Stoke
1-1
Plymouth
Sidibe (39')
Hayles (78')
Norris (45'), Doumbé (85')
Feb 14, 2006 3pm
Stoke
0-0
Plymouth
Chadwick (83')
Doumbé (15'), Barness (81')