Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.