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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
| 41.46% ( | 24.46% ( | 34.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.25% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.46% ( | 43.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.07% ( | 65.92% ( |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.91% ( | 21.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.09% ( | 53.9% ( |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.08% ( | 24.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.46% ( | 59.54% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 1-0 @ 8.18% ( 2-0 @ 6.36% ( 3-1 @ 4.59% ( 3-0 @ 3.3% ( 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 4-1 @ 1.79% ( 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 4-2 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 41.46% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 2-2 @ 6.15% 0-0 @ 5.25% ( 3-3 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.45% | 1-2 @ 7.9% ( 0-1 @ 7.3% ( 0-2 @ 5.07% ( 1-3 @ 3.66% ( 2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 2-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.69% Total : 34.07% |