Championship

Championship | Gameweek 14

Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
0 - 2
Stoke

McNair (53'), van den Berg (57')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Rose (8'), Leris (37')
Thompson (69'), Stevens (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Norwich 1-2 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stoke City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Stoke 1-0 Leeds
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.68%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Stoke City
48.68% ( 0)	23.65% ( 0.01)	27.67% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 58.66% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.19% (

-0.05)

42.81% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.79% (

-0.05)

65.21% (

0.05)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.25% (

-0.02)

17.74% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.58% (

-0.03)

48.42% (

0.02)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.31% (

-0.04)

28.68% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.49% (

-0.05)

64.5% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 48.68%

Stoke City 27.67%

Draw 23.64%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Stoke City
2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.39% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 3.74% Total : 48.68%	1-1 @ 10.98% 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.64%	1-2 @ 6.86% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.97% 1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0) Other @ 3.51% Total : 27.67%