Championship

Championship | Gameweek 12

Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Birmingham

Rogers (88')
Crooks (26'), Engel (30'), Hackney (58')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bielik (40'), Ruddy (45+4'), Longelo (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Sunderland 0-4 Middlesbrough
Saturday, October 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Birmingham City

All competitions

Last Game: Birmingham 3-1 West Brom
Friday, October 6 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 54.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Birmingham City
54.34% ( 0.01)	23.53% ( -0)	22.13% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 53.15% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.64% (

0.01)

47.35% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.42% (

0.02)

69.57% (

-0.02)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.67% (

0.01)

17.32% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.3% (

0.01)

47.69% (

-0.02)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.28% (

35.71% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.51% (

72.48% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 54.33%

Birmingham City 22.13%

Draw 23.52%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 10.84% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.79% 2-0 @ 9.51% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.56% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.44% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 3.74% Total : 54.33%	1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.52%	0-1 @ 6.37% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.75% 0-2 @ 3.28% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 22.13%