EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Third Round

Sep 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

The Utilita Energy Stadium

Bradford
0 - 2
Middlesbrough

Walker (38'), Pattison (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Latte Lath (21'), Rogers (54')
Smith (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Bradford City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bradford City

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Newport 1-4 Bradford
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Middlesbrough

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-1 Southampton
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 1-0 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.

Result
Bradford City	Draw	Middlesbrough
31.27% ( -0.16)	24.98% ( 0.05)	43.75% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 56.39% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.18% (

-0.28)

46.82% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.93% (

-0.27)

69.07% (

0.27)

Bradford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.77% (

-0.24)

28.23% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.06% (

-0.31)

63.94% (

0.31)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.58% (

-0.07)

21.42% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.57% (

-0.11)

54.43% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Bradford City 31.27%

Middlesbrough 43.75%

Draw 24.98%

Bradford City	Draw	Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.74% Total : 31.27%	1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.98%	0-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.42% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 43.75%