Championship

Championship | Gameweek 24

Jan 16, 2021 at 12.30pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
0 - 1
Birmingham

Dijksteel (83')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hogan (26')
Toral (15'), Sunjic (71')

Reaction

Birmingham City manager Aitor Karanka pictured on January 10, 2021

Aitor Karanka hopes Middlesbrough win is a "sign of the future"

The Spaniard, back at the Riverside Stadium where he spent four years in charge, saw Scott Hogan score the winner.

Jan 16, 16:51

The Match

Match Report

Blues boss Aitor Karanka returned to the Riverside Stadium and took away three points.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 51.24%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 20.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Birmingham City
51.24%	27.98%	20.78%

Both teams to score 39.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.56%

64.44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.51%

83.49%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.41%

25.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.53%

60.47%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.08%

46.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.57%

82.43%

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 51.23%

Birmingham City 20.78%

Draw 27.96%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 16.36% 2-0 @ 11.15% 2-1 @ 8.44% 3-0 @ 5.07% 3-1 @ 3.83% 4-0 @ 1.73% 3-2 @ 1.45% 4-1 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.9% Total : 51.23%	1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 12% 2-2 @ 3.19% Other @ 0.39% Total : 27.96%	0-1 @ 9.09% 1-2 @ 4.69% 0-2 @ 3.44% 1-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.39% Total : 20.78%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Birmingham

Middlesbrough

78.4%

Draw

10.8%

Birmingham City