Championship Gameweek 13
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Carrow Road
  • Gabriel Sara 76' yellowcard
  • Jon Rowe 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Jon Rowe 90'+9' goal
  • goal Sam Greenwood 46'
  • yellowcard Hayden Hackney 89'
  • goal Sam Silvera 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Timothy Dieng 90'+4'

Norwich City vs Middlesbrough - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm
Norwich 2 - 3 Leeds
Goals scored
79
Top scorer
Joshua Sargent

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm
Middlesbrough 1 - 0 Birmingham
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Emmanuel Latte Lath

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Middlesbrough in this match.

Result

Norwich City 35.56% (+0.23)
Draw 24.94% (+0.03)
Middlesbrough 39.49% (-0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.82% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.47% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 45.52% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 32.15% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 67.85% (+0.09)
Over 4.5 16.18% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 83.82% (+0.07)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5 75% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 24.99% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 40.34% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 59.65% (-0.13)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 77.09% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 22.9% (+0.17)
Over 1.5 43.34% (-0.26)
Under 1.5 56.66% (+0.25)

Score analysis

Norwich City 35.56%
Draw 24.94%
Middlesbrough 39.49%
Norwich City
2-1 @ 8.11% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 7.94% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 5.5% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.75% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.76% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.54% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.3% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 35.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.69% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.98% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.72% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.94%
Middlesbrough
1-2 @ 8.62% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 8.44% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.22% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 4.24% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 3.06% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.56% (-0.03)
0-4 @ 1.13% (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 39.49%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 42
Apr 14, 2023 8.00pm
5
1
HT : 4 1
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Aaron Ramsey 7' goal
  • Hayden Hackney 41' goal
  • Cameron Archer 43' goal
  • Chuba Akpom 49' goal
  • Cameron Archer 45'+6' goal
  • goal Joshua Sargent 45'
Championship Gameweek 21
Nov 12, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Carrow Road
  • Joshua Sargent 7' goal
  • goal Riley McGree 64'
  • goal Matt Crooks 90'+2'
Championship Gameweek 27
Jan 30, 2021 12.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Carrow Road
  • Emiliano Buendia 41' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Buendia 67' redcard
  • yellowcard George Saville 73'
  • yellowcard Jonny Howson 90'
Championship Gameweek 12
Nov 21, 2020 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • yellowcard Jacob Sorensen 15'
  • goal Teemu Pukki 72'
Championship Gameweek 39
Mar 30, 2019 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough)
  • Daniel Ayala 33' yellowcard
  • John Obi Mikel 49' yellowcard
  • Stewart Downing 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marco Stiepermann 42'
  • yellowcard Christoph Zimmermann 48'
  • goal Onel Hernandez 54'
  • yellowcard Onel Hernandez 54'
  • yellowcard Tom Trybull 57'
Championship Gameweek 7
Sep 15, 2018 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Carrow Road (Norwich, Norfolk)
  • Teemu Pukki 58' goal
  • Timm Klose 59' yellowcard
  • Marco Stiepermann 62' yellowcard
  • Moritz Leitner 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adam Clayton 42'