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Championship header 2

Championship

Stoke logo
Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Stoke
0 - 0
Cardiff


McNally (42')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-2 Stoke
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Championship

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff 2-0 Bristol City
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawCardiff City
48.85% (0.073 0.07)25.04% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)26.1% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 52.74% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.99% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)50% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.01% (-0.041 -0.04)71.98% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.51% (0.010999999999996 0.01)20.49% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.03% (0.019000000000005 0.02)52.97% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.33% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)33.66% (0.081999999999994 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.68% (-0.093 -0.09)70.31% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 48.85%
    Cardiff City 26.1%
    Draw 25.03%
Stoke CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 10.93% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.67% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.99% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 4.58% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.98% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.82% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 48.85%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 6.9% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.03%
0-1 @ 7.51% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-2 @ 6.48% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 26.1%

How you voted: Stoke vs Cardiff

Stoke City
68.4%
Draw
15.8%
Cardiff City
15.8%
19
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Gameweek 22
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> Preview
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
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> Preview
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
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> Match Report