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Luke McNally
42'
Stoke City vs Cardiff City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result
Stoke City
48.85%
▲
(+0.08)
Draw
25.04%
▼
(-0.01)
Cardiff City
26.1%
▼
(-0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
52.74%
▼
(-0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.99%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 2.5
50%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 3.5
28.01%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 3.5
71.98%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 4.5
13.32%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 4.5
86.67%
▲
(+0.03)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5
79.51%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
20.49%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
47.03%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
52.97%
▼
(-0.03)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5
66.33%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 0.5
33.66%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 1.5
29.68%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 1.5
70.31%
▲
(+0.10)
Score analysis
Stoke City
48.85%
Draw
25.03%
Cardiff City
26.1%
Stoke City
1-0
@
10.93%
▲
(+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.44% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.67% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 48.85%
2-1 @ 9.44% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.67% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 48.85%
Draw
1-1
@
11.9%
0-0 @ 6.9% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 25.03%
0-0 @ 6.9% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 25.03%
Cardiff City
0-1
@
7.51%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.48% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 26.1%
1-2 @ 6.48% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 26.1%
