Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 50.54%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.