Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 55.16%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 21.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Coventry City in this match.