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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Coventry City |
| 31.77% ( | 26.02% ( | 42.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.16% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.89% ( | 51.11% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.04% ( | 72.96% ( |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.96% ( | 30.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.83% ( | 66.16% ( |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.99% ( | 24.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.73% ( | 58.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Millwall | Draw | Coventry City |
| 1-0 @ 8.67% ( 2-1 @ 7.44% ( 2-0 @ 5.22% ( 3-1 @ 2.98% ( 3-2 @ 2.13% 3-0 @ 2.09% ( Other @ 3.24% Total : 31.77% | 1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.21% ( 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 10.28% ( 1-2 @ 8.83% ( 0-2 @ 7.34% ( 1-3 @ 4.2% ( 0-3 @ 3.49% ( 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0-4 @ 1.25% ( 2-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.88% Total : 42.19% |