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Championship | Gameweek 20
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
King Power Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Leicester
4 - 0
Plymouth

Mavididi (14' pen., 14' pen., 52'), Daka (49'), Ndidi (55')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Gibson (42'), Miller (44'), Galloway (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 1-2 Leicester
Saturday, December 2 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 2-1 Stoke
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 65.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 15.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
65.28% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)19.3% (0.047000000000001 0.05)15.42% (0.023 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.97% (-0.115 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.09% (-0.175 -0.18)38.91% (0.173 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.77% (-0.184 -0.18)61.22% (0.182 0.18)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.82% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)11.17% (0.068 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.34% (-0.15100000000001 -0.15)35.66% (0.149 0.15)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.89% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)38.11% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.13% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)74.87% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 65.27%
    Plymouth Argyle 15.42%
    Draw 19.3%
Leicester CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-0 @ 10.22% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 9.33% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 7.47% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 7.21% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.95% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.48% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.91% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.79% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 4.23%
Total : 65.27%
1-1 @ 9% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.26% (0.035 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 19.3%
1-2 @ 4.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 4.11% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.98% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 15.42%

How you voted: Leicester vs Plymouth

Leicester City
97.1%
Draw
2.9%
Plymouth Argyle
0.0%
35
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2010 3pm
Plymouth
1-1
Leicester
Noone (39')
Arnason (26')
Arnason (32' og.)
Brown (54'), Gallagher (78')
Nov 21, 2009 3pm
Leicester
1-0
Plymouth
King (90')
Brown (20')

Sawyer (25'), Mackie (80')
Feb 9, 2008 3pm
Leicester
0-1
Plymouth

Howard (30'), Hume (78'), Laczko (90')
Halmosi (34')
Connolly (45')
Sep 1, 2007 3pm
Apr 9, 2007 3pm
Plymouth
3-0
Leicester
Halmosi (15'), Ebanks-Blake (46'), Hayles (62')

Jarrett (62')