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Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Leicester logo

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Leicester

Greenwood (83')
Crooks (42'), Howson (85'), Jones (88'), Rogers (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Vestergaard (12'), Winks (43'), Choudhury (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 0-1 Leeds
Friday, November 3 at 8pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.17%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawLeicester City
36.69% (0.928 0.93)23.88% (0.246 0.25)39.43% (-1.177 -1.18)
Both teams to score 61.87% (-0.799 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.67% (-1.088 -1.09)40.32% (1.084 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.3% (-1.131 -1.13)62.7% (1.126 1.13)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.98% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)22.01% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.67% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)55.33% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.33% (-1.011 -1.01)20.66% (1.006 1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.75% (-1.614 -1.61)53.25% (1.61 1.61)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 36.69%
    Leicester City 39.43%
    Draw 23.88%
MiddlesbroughDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 8.22% (0.151 0.15)
1-0 @ 6.88% (0.336 0.34)
2-0 @ 5.21% (0.252 0.25)
3-1 @ 4.15% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.63% (0.127 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.57% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 36.69%
1-1 @ 10.85% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 6.48% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.55% (0.224 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.72% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.88%
1-2 @ 8.56% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-1 @ 7.17% (0.137 0.14)
0-2 @ 5.65% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.5% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-3 @ 3.4% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-3 @ 2.97% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.77% (-0.137 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 39.43%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Leicester

Middlesbrough
11.4%
Draw
4.5%
Leicester City
84.1%
44
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2017 12.30pm
Nov 26, 2016 3pm
Leicester
2-2
Middlesbrough
Mahrez (35' pen.), Slimani (94' pen.)
Albrighton (29'), Fuchs (37'), Amartey (51'), Vardy (65')
Negredo (13', 71')
Chambers (31'), Negredo (34'), Valdes (91'), de Roon (94')
rhs 2.0


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