EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Round of 16

Oct 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
2 - 3
Middlesbrough

Trevitt (13', 66')
Trevitt (37'), Caldwell (38'), Diabate (68'), Kite (75')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rogers (49'), Silvera (59'), Latte Lath (82' pen.)
Silvera (44'), Rogers (75'), Latte Lath (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Exeter City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Lincoln
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Middlesbrough

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-2 Stoke
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.63%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 21.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Exeter City win it was 2-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Middlesbrough
21.63% ( 0.03)	21.74% ( 0.01)	56.63% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 58.43% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.97% (

-0.03)

40.02% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.61% (

-0.03)

62.39% (

0.03)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.93% (

0.01)

32.06% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.46% (

0.01)

68.53% (

-0.01)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.01% (

-0.02)

13.99% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.49% (

-0.04)

41.5% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Exeter City 21.63%

Middlesbrough 56.63%

Draw 21.74%

Exeter City	Draw	Middlesbrough
2-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.9% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.16% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 21.63%	1-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.74%	1-2 @ 9.87% 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.68% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.47% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.69% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.68% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.18% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.81% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.25% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 3.28% Total : 56.63%